Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Dark Matter 4.50 1.36 4.60 2.80 2.40
5 K V Target 3.00 1.94 3.20 3.20
1 Stormin Sunday 12.00 7.00 7.80

$1.00 Exacta (3-5) Pays $7.60
$0.50 Trifecta (3-5-1) Pays $46.80
$0.10 Superfecta (3-5-1-6) Pays $72.80


RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Katie’s Karat 1.60 1.87 4.00 2.40 2.10
3 Dianna’s Jet 4.50 1.00 2.80 2.40
1 Fasted 6.00 6.00 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (4-3) Pays $4.50
$0.50 Trifecta (4-3-1) Pays $7.85
$0.10 Superfecta (4-3-1-5) Pays $5.35


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Calculated 4.00 4.13 6.60 4.80 3.60
1 Iron N Steel 2.50 2.03 3.20 2.80
6 Gray Dane 10.00 6.00 8.00

$1.00 Exacta (4-1) Pays $12.20
$0.50 Trifecta (4-1-6) Pays $51.60
$0.10 Superfecta (4-1-6-2) Pays $18.87


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Rebecca G 2.00 1.00 3.40 2.20 2.20
3 Mschitchattour 3.50 3.88 3.40 2.80
6 Beaux Tox 5.00 3.51 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (4-3) Pays $6.20
$0.50 Trifecta (4-3-6) Pays $17.65
$0.10 Superfecta (4-3-6-1) Pays $11.32


RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Wise Verdict 8.00 1.95 8.80 4.40 2.60
3 Cucina 4.00 2.75 3.60 2.80
6 Extirpator 6.00 1.00 3.80

$1.00 Exacta (5-3) Pays $17.90
$0.50 Trifecta (5-3-6) Pays $31.20
$0.10 Superfecta (5-3-6-4) Pays $13.64


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Guitarzan 5.00 1.00 7.60 4.00 2.60
5 Temprano 2.50 4.14 4.20 2.20
1 Easy to Miss 1.80 1.53 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (2-5) Pays $13.40
$0.50 Trifecta (2-5-1) Pays $18.50
$0.10 Superfecta (2-5-1-4) Pays $5.39


RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Summerjustbet Her 4.00 6.36 13.40 5.80 4.00
2 Becca’s Bouquet 3.00 1.00 5.80 5.20
4 B’s Lil’ Bumblebee 12.00 6.95 21.00

$1.00 Exacta (7-2) Pays $34.80
$0.50 Trifecta (7-2-4) Pays $340.20
$0.10 Superfecta (7-2-4-6) Pays $704.47


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Another Hot Mess 2.00 1.47 5.40 3.40 2.80
1 Sweet Laura 5.00 2.17 2.80 2.20
4 Jackies Irishdream 5.00 2.28 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (6-1) Pays $9.10
$0.50 Trifecta (6-1-4) Pays $16.40
$0.10 Superfecta (6-1-4-3) Pays $4.06


RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Tenpins Tempest 4.50 2.79 14.60 6.20 5.00
6 Bistineau Belle 15.00 3.56 19.40 8.00
2 Shotgun Annie 10.00 4.53 18.00

$1.00 Exacta (7-6) Pays $102.30
$0.50 Trifecta (7-6-2) Pays $467.20
$0.10 Superfecta (7-6-2-9) Pays $333.88


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.