Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Dee’s Speedstre 1.40 1.00 3.30 2.20 2.10
4 West Star 1.60 2.49 2.60 2.10
6 Fast Study 4.00 2.65 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (5-4) Pays $4.40
$0.50 Trifecta (5-4-6) Pays $4.55
$0.10 Superfecta (5-4-6-2) Pays $1.69


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Hammerin Aamer 3.50 1.00 7.20 3.80 2.40
2 Lil Commissioner 2.00 2.30 3.50 2.20
5 Runabout 2.50 2.10 2.30

$1.00 Exacta (3-2) Pays $10.30
$0.50 Trifecta (3-2-5) Pays $8.45
$0.10 Superfecta (3-2-5-6) Pays $4.85


RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Sight Unseen 15.00 5.13 13.20 4.10 3.70
2 Ghostlyprince 2.00 1.07 2.60 2.10
6 Romanoatsee 15.00 1.00 4.20

$1.00 Exacta (5-2) Pays $23.40
$0.50 Trifecta (5-2-6) Pays $50.62
$0.10 Superfecta (5-2-6-1) Pays $14.47


RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Naked and Famous 2.50 3.58 10.00 3.30 2.70
7 Super Quality 1.80 2.62 2.40 2.20
3 Threethirtythree 6.00 3.37 3.90

$1.00 Exacta (5-7) Pays $7.90
$0.50 Trifecta (5-7-3) Pays $13.50
$0.10 Superfecta (5-7-3-8) Pays $6.47


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Asset Purchase 3.00 5.05 8.80 5.70 3.60
5 Risk Free 8.00 1.00 6.40 3.10
6 Liam’s Champ 2.00 4.41 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (4-5) Pays $27.00
$0.50 Trifecta (4-5-6) Pays $31.25
$0.10 Superfecta (4-5-6-8) Pays $93.60


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Beautiful Karen 5.00 1.00 9.80 3.80 2.90
6 Movie Moxy 1.80 2.01 3.00 2.50
5 Gagliano 6.00 6.74 2.70

$1.00 Exacta (4-6) Pays $10.90
$0.50 Trifecta (4-6-5) Pays $20.87
$0.10 Superfecta (4-6-5-1) Pays $19.50


RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Big Tony’s Girl 6.00 1.00 14.40 8.40 5.80
7 London Gold 4.50 6.76 6.00 3.90
1 Carly Hustle 10.00 7.89 8.30

$1.00 Exacta (8-7) Pays $32.50
$0.50 Trifecta (8-7-1) Pays $144.50
$0.10 Superfecta (8-7-1-4) Pays $100.75


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Tonal Impact 1.40 1.84 3.30 2.60 2.10
4 Good Skate 10.00 1.96 5.30 4.00
7 Three Jokers 6.00 7.00 3.60

$1.00 Exacta (1-4) Pays $10.10
$0.50 Trifecta (1-4-7) Pays $23.75
$0.10 Superfecta (1-4-7-3) Pays $14.02


RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
11 Hot Fudge 4.00 1.00 8.60 5.50 4.10
5 Kitten’s Appeal 6.00 3.94 6.80 4.60
10 Captainsdaughter 8.00 1.66 3.30

$1.00 Exacta (11-5) Pays $34.25
$0.50 Trifecta (11-5-10) Pays $79.25
$0.10 Superfecta (11-5-10-4) Pays $105.95


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.