March 25, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Kissin Cassie |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Summer of Joy |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Rare Rose |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Woundwithhereyes |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Keeper of the Bees |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Promise Me Tiz |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Schout Bay |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
The Undersheriff |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Cats Landing |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Sir Maurice |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tipit |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
I Win |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Smart Russian |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 –
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Tiz Rae Anna |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Heavenly Score |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sounds Delicious |
1.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Bluegrass Flag |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Wilburnmoney |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Balac |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
Scr |
11 |
8 |
Southern Union |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Carson’s Klondike |
50.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
7 |
Ornato |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Receiver |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Beneficial Risk |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Legendary Humor |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
T R Royal |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Royal Ridge |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Oh So Sinister |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
9 |
6 |
Spicy Sider |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Zabaione |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Cloud Control |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
James Lane |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Cause I’m Alex |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Papa Shot |
1.60 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Ackeret |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Draxhall Woods |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Forest Boy |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Native Hawk |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Saratoga Wildcat |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Marble Falls |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Mighty One |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Sandy Strikes |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Vilma |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Nominal Dollars |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Dogtown |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bene |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Portando |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
6 |
Loki’s Vengeance |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
4 |
Bust Another |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
5 |
Candid Desire |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Rectify |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
7 |
Ostrolenka |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1A |
3 |
Drama King |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Eye Luv Lulu |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Groton St Scout |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
My Plain Jane |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Grassmiss |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
This Bird Can Sing |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
The Two Nancy’s |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
New York Bourbon |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Eighth Commandment |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Malibu Squeeze |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sweet Cider |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
On Time Arrival |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Anna Liffey |
50.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Chorite |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Posse in the Raw |
8.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Ben and Jiggy’s |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.