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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for April 2, 2017

April 2, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Knockit Off 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Sir Tiz 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Hoodue 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Rare Rose Royce 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Carmens Catcher 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Gator Tough 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Cha Cha Charlie 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Dealer’s Etbauer 12.00 8 15-1
6 6 Halos Prayer 12.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Alzanbaq 1.80 1 2-1 Scr
6 5 Vokazak 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Inspire Courage 2.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Sure Can Do 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Bandini Moon 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Caleb Hawk 15.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
2 2 Out of the Trappe 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 7 Glory Kingdom 6.00 7 13-1
4 3 Mr. Nine Five Four 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Freakonthelead 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Warrior’s Kid 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Box Knife 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Midnight Moonlight 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Private Time 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Midnight Oak 4.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Hembree 2.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 Devil’s Teeth 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Hancock County 8.00 2 4-1 Scr
10 9 Coteau Kid 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 El’s Intoit 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Pioneering Native 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Udoknowjack 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Red White and Guru 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 No Rules Now 3.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Fist Full 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Freddie One Bite 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Shedrow Cocktails 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 10 Woodmans Luck 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 1 Plug Catcher 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Pioneer Tiger 50.00 4 8-1
1A 4 Full Metal 8.00 5 9-1
2 7 Forget the Name 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 2 Call Me West 8.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Secret Wonder 30.00 7.3 14-1
4 3 Sly Tom 3.00 7.3 14-1
7 9 Quiet Seduction 12.00 8 15-1
8 10 A He’s an O’Prado 6.00 8.5 16-1 Scr
2B 8 Russian Partisan 15.00 8.5 16-1
10 12 Man of Strife 12.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
5 5 Mike’s Treasure 50.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 1 Appoint Me King 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 3 Cascade Indian 15.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Ride 4.50 4 8-1
10 9 Classic Greeley 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Recreational Use 3.50 5 9-1
1 1 Firedupreadytogo 50.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
11 11 Gentleman’s Prize 4.50 6.8 13-1 Scr
6 5 Double Down Mike 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 8 Highschooldropout 15.00 8.5 16-1
7 6 Rail’s Genuine Boy 10.00 9.5 18-1
5 4 Spasini 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Patriot Drive 5.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 My Man Jax 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Flat Bush Four 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Big Exchange 5.00 4 8-1
5 4 His Royal Majesty 4.50 5 9-1
7 6 Estragon 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Mizztic Tale 6.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
10 9 Wildcat Saint 10.00 7.8 15-1
9 8 Thorn Hill Cat 12.00 9 17-1
8 7 Silver Star Ranger 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1A 8 Pacific Pink 2.00 1.3 2-1
1 6 Calamity Jane 2.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Kinky Vow 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 1 Flowersforlady 5.00 5 9-1
6 5 Dixie Brees 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Safari Calamari 3.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Indian Wind 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Teelfa 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Half Fast Rose 12.00 8.5 16-1
3 2 Mad Heiress 20.00 9.5 18-1
7 6 Tap City Baby 20.00 11 21-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Star Guitar S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Mageez 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Watch My Smoke 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Grande Basin 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Grit 2.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Just Stormin 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Sir Genghis 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Finishlikeapro 4.50 6 11-1
1 1 Jeff and J’s Dream 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 11 Persuade Me Lady 8.00 2.8 5-1
1A 10 Vow of Secrecy 5.00 3 6-1
7 6 Fancy Madelyn 1.60 3.3 6-1
4 3 Elegant Idea 30.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Active Runner 8.00 4 8-1
6 5 Hot Yankee 5.00 4 8-1
9 7 Half a Million 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Rose’s Asset 30.00 7 13-1
1 8 Sibling War 5.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Gee Whiz Lil 8.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
3 2 Jackie Ems Pal 30.00 8.3 16-1
10 9 Aunt Nellie 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Coteau Jozi 3.00 2 4-1
2 1 Starnilla 8.00 2 4-1
6 5 Miss Ruby’s Legacy 2.00 2.5 5-1
12 11 Spirit of a Cat 8.00 4 8-1
8 7 Pocket Time 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Parkers Nite Out 8.00 6 11-1
10 9 Alaina’s Half Ours 20.00 7 13-1
5 4 Miso Smooth 20.00 8 15-1
11 10 Sorcerer’s Appeal 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 Rosada’s Rose 30.00 9 17-1 Scr
4 3 Wild Mimosas 30.00 10 19-1
9 8 Shatorah 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Noisey Boy 2.50 1.8 3-1
9 7 Honest Oath 20.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
5 5 Pure Bingo 4.50 3.3 6-1 Scr
6 4 Fiddlers Farewell 20.00 5 9-1
8 6 Last Flash 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Pancho’s Lucky Boy 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Zar’s Star 3.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
7 5 Whistling Ranger 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Stack a Lee 30.00 8.5 16-1
10 8 Coxswain 3.50 9 17-1
11 11 Darien’s Secret 50.00 10.3 19-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Platinum Kitty 4.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Madame Begue 10.00 3 6-1 Scr
6 6 Infinite Verses 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Reckless Girl 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Bella Capelli 10.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 High Heeled 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Anytime Baby 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Cajun English 8.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 The Thrill Is On 3.00 9.3 17-1
4 4 Frankie’s Touch 30.00 9.5 18-1
12 11 Cleverius 50.00 10.5 20-1
5 5 Syrup Cake 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Very Elegant 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Afterimage 3.50 3 6-1
13 13 Miss Mississippi 8.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
5 5 Carmens Good Karma 30.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Valiant Vixen 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Queezee Proud 3.00 5.5 10-1
14 14 Ballado Ballet 20.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
9 9 Unbridledagain 10.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Charley’s Smile 8.00 9 17-1
12 12 Dreams to Remember 20.00 10 19-1 Scr
3 3 Champagne Teardrop 50.00 10 19-1
4 4 Bettyblue 15.00 10.5 20-1
11 11 Court the Storm 12.00 11 21-1 Scr
1 1 Fund Girl 50.00 13.3 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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