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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 13, 2017

April 13, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Roman Revival 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Timber 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Sammy Wonder Stone 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Portando 1.60 3.3 6-1
2 2 Baby Bear’s Soup 3.50 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Day of Fury 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Risetotheoccasion 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ackeret 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Tiz Long Gone 6.00 4 8-1 Scr
3 3 Roll Tide Roll 5.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Mewannarose 1.60 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Sophie Germain 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 No Sweat 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Lucky Long 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Dance Queen 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Thirst for Truth 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Toohottoevenspeak 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Proud Zip 1.80 1.8 3-1
6 6 The Hero Within 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Cold Gone Hot 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Monte Man 3.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Full of Mine 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Giant Ending 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 6 Questeq 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Jacqueline D 6.00 4 8-1
8 7 You Promise 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Empty House 4.00 5.3 10-1
10 9 Grande Beso 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 New York Event 12.00 6.8 13-1 Scr
9 8 Chorite 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Wish Upon 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 Prima Attrice 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 1 Clairvoyant Lady 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Kissin Cassie 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 8 Shesmyheartandsoul 8.00 4 8-1 Scr
1 3 Catcher in the Sky 2.50 4.3 8-1 Scr
3 2 Spirit Lets Hearit 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Bellelarama 5.00 5.8 11-1
1A 3 On the Fringe 2.50 6.3 12-1
6 6 Summer Sally 4.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Alex the Terror 6.00 1.8 3-1 Scr
5 4 Life in Shambles 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Classy Class 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Big Guy Ian 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Eighty Three 1.80 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Claudia’s Vision 30.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
5 3 Down Royal 15.00 3.8 7-1 Scr
7 4 Pescara 15.00 4.3 8-1
10 7 Eighth Commandment 8.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Desert Affair 2.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
2 1 Celtic Serenade 4.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Long Island Lady 30.00 6.5 12-1
8 5 Sharp Lacey 2.50 6.5 12-1
9 6 Pure Gemmz 6.00 8 15-1
6 3 Hyde Park Express 3.50 9 17-1
4 4 Freckle de Freck 10.00 9.3 17-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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