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Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 15, 2017

April 15, 2017 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Skip the Pinot 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 6 Well Mannered 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 1 Heat Road 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Star’s Valentino 3.00 4 8-1
10 9 Will Munnings 6.00 4.5 9-1
1A 10 Creative Art 3.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 Hat of Jacks 20.00 7.8 15-1 Scr
7 7 Ghost City King 5.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Mud Light 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 5 Boalt Hall 6.00 8.8 17-1
5 4 Henderson Country 10.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Lamu 3.00 3.3 6-1
9 7 Ring Necked 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Primarily Gold 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Civitavecchio (ARG) 8.00 5 9-1
6 5 O T B Bob 12.00 5 9-1
7 6 First Heritage 6.00 5.5 10-1
12 10 Roma Road 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Bandi’s Gal 5.00 8 15-1 Scr
4 4 Gasupthejet 10.00 8 15-1 Scr
13 11 Gold Hawk 10.00 8.5 16-1
10 8 High Dollar Kitten 15.00 8.8 17-1
11 9 Rage Riot 6.00 9.8 18-1
1 1 Go Gold 12.00 11.3 21-1
14 14 Storm Around 15.00 13 25-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Leofric 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Rosary Man 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Hillbilly Royalty 12.00 4 8-1
4 3 One Fine Dream 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Freestyler 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Elijah 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Fire Starter 4.00 6.8 13-1 Scr
6 5 Mishegas 3.00 7.3 14-1
3 2 Awesome Thought 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 6 Abbaa 3.00 2 4-1
7 4 Tanner’s Popsicle 8.00 2 4-1
8 5 Counterforce 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Cash Bonus 15.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
10 7 Knights Key 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Luna de Loco 4.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Mister Pollard 30.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
1 1 Purely Given 6.00 7 13-1
4 3 Net Gain 12.00 7 13-1
6 6 Cloudy River 20.00 9 17-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Holiday Man 10.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Allidoisdreamofyou 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Conquest Bigluck E 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Moon Gate Warrior 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Oak Brook 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Pinson 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 For Greater Glory 4.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Excessive 8.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Badabing Badaboom 12.00 9 17-1
7 7 Snickerboxer 10.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Arch Cat 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Zip Van Winkle 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 United Stand 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Hot Shot Kid 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Off Road 3.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Tizfun 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Pitch Count 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 The Red Dude 10.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Hard Fought 15.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Curmit 6.00 10 19-1
12 12 Camalus 20.00 10.3 19-1
10 10 Bowman West 30.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Count Fleet Sprint H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Moe Candy 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Whitmore 0.80 2.5 5-1
5 5 Chief Cicatriz 30.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Wabel 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Black Bear 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Holy Boss 5.00 6 11-1
1 1 Chief of Staff 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Apprehender 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Sharp Art 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Northern Spur S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Balandeen 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Cistron 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Jerrid 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Warrior’s Club 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Colonelsdarktemper 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Love That Lute 5.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Total Tap 6.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Oaklawn H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Inside Straight 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Midnight Storm 0.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Texas Chrome 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Goats Town 20.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Madefromlucky 4.00 5 9-1
6 6 Cutacorner 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Domain’s Rap 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Long Station 4.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Purrfectpersuasion 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Double Dare 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Langs Legend 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Midnight’s Fantasy 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Sumpter 10.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Greeleys Charm 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Twenty and Four 8.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Chilango 12.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Confederate Rags 20.00 9 17-1
9 9 Funny Questions 10.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Perfect Saint 15.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Arkansas Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Sonneteer 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Petrov 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Silver Dust 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Rockin Rudy 12.00 4 8-1
12 12 Malagacy 2.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Classic Empire 1.60 4.8 9-1
5 5 Grandpa’s Dream 30.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Untrapped 6.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Lookin At Lee 15.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Rowdy the Warrior 30.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Conquest Mo Money 15.00 10.5 20-1
10 10 One Dreamy Dude 50.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Mojo Street 3.00 1.8 3-1
14 14 Dynabeaver 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Far Out Kailee 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Sky Alert 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Dontsaymyname 50.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Bold Shot 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Husky Clipper 6.00 6 11-1
13 13 Class President 12.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Point After 20.00 9 17-1
6 6 Indy Awesome 8.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Birdsone 20.00 10 19-1
10 10 Pat’s Shoes 30.00 12 23-1
2 2 Anteros 40.00 12.3 23-1
3 3 The Rouge Diesel 20.00 12.5 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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