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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 22, 2017

April 22, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Palladian Bridge 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Krista’s Persona 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Little Bear Cat 1.60 3.3 6-1
4 4 Lakeside Sunset 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Tahoe Tigress 4.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 E Warfare 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Spectacular Flash 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Perina’s Pride 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Glotona Again 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Julie D 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Sweetrayofsunshine 1.60 4.8 9-1
2 2 Forest Pike 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Lady Luciano 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Spa Town Parade 30.00 8 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Woodhaven S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Bonus Points 1.80 1.5 3-1 Scr
5 4 Frostmourne 1.40 2.5 5-1
3 2 Bird’s Eye View 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Outplay 1.60 4.3 8-1 Scr
6 5 Royal by Nature (IRE) 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Secretary At War 2.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Shamsaan 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Our Caravan 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Nonna’s Boy 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Swivel 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 Castaway 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Banner Bill 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Instant Replay 3.50 5 9-1
7 7 Blue Pigeon 20.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
3 3 Global Positioning 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Rockford 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Sir Bond 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Gentrify 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Draxhall Woods 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Brewing 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Roll Tide Roll 5.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Zaguri 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 2 Promise the Sky 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 New Jersey John 5.00 3 6-1
10 9 Source Control 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Rulica 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Our American Star 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Skeet Shot 3.00 7 13-1
9 8 Coral Ridge 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Heldatgunpoint 15.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Rossie Val 6.00 8.8 17-1 Scr
11 10 Tap City 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 8 Conquest Prankster 1.60 2 4-1 Scr
3 2 Jacala 2.00 3 6-1
6 3 Stormin Stephen 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 5 Dearie 10.00 5 9-1
10 6 Mr Harlan 2.50 6.3 12-1
2 1 Southern Union 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Cody’s Notes 20.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
1 7 Clutch Cargo 3.50 8.3 16-1
1A 13 Can You Diggit 3.50 8.8 17-1 Scr
4 3 Sandy Strikes 20.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
5 4 Bene 1.20 10 19-1 Scr
7 4 Prophet’s Cat 8.00 10 19-1
12 12 Ro Bear 10.00 11.3 21-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Noble Freud 1.20 1.8 3-1
2 2 Frosty Gal 12.00 2 4-1
1 1 Toni Tools 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Dublin Girl 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Karen Kan 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Bluegrass Flag 2.00 5 9-1
3 3 Unbridledadventure 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Piazza Del Campo 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 2 Smarter 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Arch of Honor 20.00 5 9-1
7 5 Arch Contender 15.00 5.3 10-1
10 9 Emoticon 8.00 6.5 12-1
11 10 Bootlegger (FR) 5.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Patrick’s Harp 20.00 7 13-1 Scr
1 8 He’s Cheeky 4.00 8 15-1
13 14 Game Breaker 2.50 8.5 16-1 Scr
2 1 Mysterio 15.00 8.8 17-1
1X 15 Love and Care 4.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
1A 13 There They Go 4.00 11.3 21-1 Scr
9 7 Radial Flyer 30.00 11.3 21-1
8 6 Madeyourpoint 10.00 11.3 21-1
12 11 Double Rainbow 15.00 13.8 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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