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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 22, 2017

April 22, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 High Street 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Milady Rocks 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Awesometastic 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 On Board 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Hello Linda 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Stay Spicy 3.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Giovanna Ponti 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Smarty Kitten 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Forty Acres 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Malibu Sunset 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Purgenality 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Kapellmeister 4.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Grantson 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mesoma 3.50 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 No Hiding Place 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Limousine Liberal 1.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
3 3 Wyeth 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Big Squeeze 8.00 4 8-1
6 5 Silver Ride 3.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Tizmatized 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Blonde in the City 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Rangers Funny Girl 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Crack Your Whip 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Princess Dinah 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Ginger Stone 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Raise Your L Up 5.00 4 8-1 Scr
8 7 Color Me Blush 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Venetian 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Susie Bee 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Kyllachy Queen (IRE) 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Belle Hill 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Shelbysmile 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Bitty Kitty 5.00 5 9-1
3 3 Dynazar 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Flipcup 4.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Meantime 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Professor Snape 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Vandelay 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Big Dinner 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Tapsolute 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Encrypt 3.00 5 9-1
1 1 Enhanced Edition 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Enchantera 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Town Classic 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Entertainer 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Stone 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Tavernonthecrow 30.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Westfest 2.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Masterofthehouse 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Rapa Iti 20.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Jersey Street 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Lenstar 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Bam Bam Bryan 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Aquamarine 2.00 4 8-1
4 4 Mr Sheen 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Kidnap 10.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dixiana Elkhorn S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Itsinthepost (FR) 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Danish Dynaformer 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Bullards Alley 20.00 4 8-1
11 8 Chocolate Ride 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Taghleeb 4.00 6 11-1 Scr
3 3 Red Rifle 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Bigger Picture 3.50 6.3 12-1
7 7 Grey Wizard 30.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
9 7 Charming Kitten 6.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Roman Approval 20.00 9 17-1 Scr
1 1 Interpol 12.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 1 Awestruck 1.60 1 2-1
9 8 Clever Serve 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Golden Domer 4.00 3 6-1
10 9 Billboard 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Star Quest 12.00 6 11-1
5 4 Lela’s Gift 30.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Dreamin of Della 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Loran Holiday (ARG) 10.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
6 5 Conquest Classic 4.00 8 15-1
8 7 Naples Mist 15.00 8.8 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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