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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 23, 2017

April 23, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Bagpipes 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 1 Royal Blessing 1.80 2.5 5-1
6 5 O T B Bob 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Northeast Bound 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Rich Daddy 2.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
3 2 Castlefinn 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Pinch Hit 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 5 More Than Kisses 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Charity Stripe 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Lake Turkana 10.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
7 7 Lookforasmile 8.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
4 3 Sister Kan 3.00 5.5 10-1
8 6 Sea Holiday 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 2 Grace to Glory 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Juno Moon 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Grateful 1.80 3.3 6-1
5 4 Never Grow Old 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Sameeha 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Gentle Kitten 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Shes Trickey 3.50 5 9-1
4 3 Kiwi Cat 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Everywheruwanttobe 30.00 8 15-1 Scr
7 6 Cold Hearted Pearl 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Majestic Kindness 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Nancy Doll 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Lady Lt. 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Tiz Madness 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Quiet Score 3.00 5 9-1
2 2 Open Invitation 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Haute Prospect 30.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Double First 5.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Super Wonderful 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Heartwood 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Twinsanity 20.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Winning Element 15.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Blanco Y Negro 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Bookman 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Silver Treasure 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Extricate 3.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Levanto (ARG) 10.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Irst 2.50 7.8 15-1
9 9 Sunshine Day (ARG) 12.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Victory to Victory 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Lightning Dove 10.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Song of Spring 6.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
3 3 Villa Elena 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Dancing Waves (IRE) 6.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
6 5 Coco Channel 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Fun 8.00 7 13-1
7 6 Danceland 3.50 7.3 14-1
8 7 Enchanting Kitten 3.50 8.3 16-1
2 2 Miss O’Hara 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 8 Blue Collar 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Mo d’Amour 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Super Humor 20.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
6 5 Gamble’s Ghost 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Game Time Decision 3.50 4.3 8-1 Scr
4 4 Blip n’ Th Bye 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Stageplay 4.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Sweetgrass 4.00 6 11-1
3 3 Wonderment 8.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Chiltern Street 3.50 2 4-1
10 9 Alaskan Prince 12.00 2.5 5-1
11 10 Canadian Flyer 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Wagon Boss 30.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Loose On the Town 3.50 5.3 10-1
12 11 Vici 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Bourbon Candy 30.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Whiskey Bravo 5.00 8 15-1
2 2 Forgive 4.50 8.5 16-1 Scr
9 8 Tiz Too 50.00 9 17-1
3 2 Save the Drama 30.00 10.5 20-1
6 5 Denim Blue 50.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 The Hans Sum One 4.50 1.8 3-1
13 9 Dark Arden 3.00 2 4-1
11 10 Chester Mon 3.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
10 9 Kid Perfect 3.50 3.8 7-1 Scr
8 7 Flat Bush Four 10.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
4 3 Little Bit Irish 5.00 5.8 11-1
12 8 Cowboy Quinn 20.00 8 15-1
1A 14 Royal Ghost 20.00 8.5 16-1 Scr
9 7 Kinetic Energy 12.00 10.3 19-1
5 4 Slim 30.00 10.3 19-1
2 1 Hard Knock Life 10.00 10.5 20-1
1 11 Mr Ree 20.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
7 6 Perfect Cuppajoe 15.00 12.8 24-1
3 2 Promises to Keep 20.00 12.8 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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