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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, April 26, 2017

April 26, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Double Ours 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Ikerrin Road (IRE) 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Wildwood Dancer 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Royal Asset 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Stormy Pacific 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Whyruawesome 5.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 8 Mugrosito 12.00 2 4-1
8 6 Pete Marwick 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 3 Jersey Town Cat 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 4 Direct Dial 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Day of Reckoning 2.50 4.8 9-1 Scr
12 9 Gritter Man 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 5 Tememon 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Bat 30.00 9 17-1 Scr
10 7 Freekson 30.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Peekacho 20.00 9.8 18-1 Scr
4 2 Custom Infinity 12.00 10.3 19-1
1 1 Momma’s Gift 30.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Rhodium 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Ultra Arumba (BRZ) 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Mango’s Muse 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 I Am Miss Brown 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Snuggle Struggle 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Delusional K K 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Gotit Todo 3.50 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Nootka Sound 4.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
3 3 Kowboy Posse 15.00 2.8 5-1
7 5 Tigerbeach 3.50 2.8 5-1
11 9 Sky Promise 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Copper Bullet 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Country Sway 30.00 6.8 13-1 Scr
9 7 Two Grand 12.00 6.8 13-1
12 10 Salmanazar 3.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Reaganize 20.00 8.3 16-1
10 8 I’m Corfu 20.00 9.3 17-1
6 4 Artegon 12.00 10 19-1
8 6 Madeye 20.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Fire for Effect 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Avie’s Mesa 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Caustic 30.00 4 8-1
4 4 Makarios 1.60 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dahog 50.00 5 9-1
7 7 Nickle Plated 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Channel Maker 2.50 5.8 11-1
8 8 Holiday Bonus 6.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 9 High Multiple 10.00 3.5 7-1
11 10 Spanish Squeeze (IRE) 30.00 4.8 9-1
12 11 Dragunov 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Smart Question 20.00 6 11-1
6 5 Oriental Crown 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Elitch 3.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Krewe Chief 6.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
4 3 Cheers to Us 20.00 7.3 14-1
1A 16 Silverdollardreams 3.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
8 8 McHenry 6.00 9.3 17-1
7 7 L T’s Best Tale 15.00 10.5 20-1
1 6 Dunk a Din 3.00 11.8 22-1
14 14 Memorial Blue 15.00 12.3 23-1 Scr
2 1 Eiteljorg 15.00 12.3 23-1
15 15 El Bonito 15.00 13.3 25-1 Scr
13 13 Heliodoro 6.00 13.5 26-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Yes Mon 30.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
2 1 Gorgeous Kitten 5.00 3 6-1
7 6 Young American 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Giant Payday 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Soglio 2.00 4 8-1
4 3 Dontblamerocket 8.00 6 11-1
8 7 Don’t Split Tens 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Untimed Play 6.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 10 Harlons Commision 10.00 2.3 4-1
9 6 Overhold 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 There’syourtrouble 4.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
5 5 Karmic Destiny 20.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
10 7 Reallyareyakiddin 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 Truly Brilliant 10.00 6.3 12-1
12 9 Bernardina 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 3 Love Me in Malibu 2.50 7.8 15-1
11 8 Marnie Star 20.00 8.8 17-1
7 4 Norwegian Lady 30.00 10 19-1
8 5 Lyons Bay Vista 4.00 10.5 20-1
2 1 Like a Haint 15.00 11 21-1
4 4 Big Baby Slew 15.00 11.3 21-1 Scr
14 14 Dial M for Mugs 15.00 13.3 25-1 Scr
16 16 Queen Mary J 30.00 14.3 27-1 Scr
15 15 Kitty Express 20.00 15 28-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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