May 6, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Motown Melody | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Back Ya Poils | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saveaplaceforme | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awfully Sinful | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Teatoe | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ky Causeway | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bear On Fire | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Fever | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Watch It Buster | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dan’s Revenge | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cummings Road | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grom | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cat Zapper | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vegas Strip | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spring Tempest | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Watch Your Six | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stop Who’s That | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Your Head Up | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boathouse View | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’ll Take the Cake | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gertie T | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Ombre | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Stride of Pride | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | You’re My Destiny | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | I Want S’mores | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Scale | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Citrus Storm | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gabby’s Ballerina | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bid’s Kid | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Megalin Candy | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Messy Marie | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Redstripeconqueror | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jovial Jess | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teiaiagon | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Slam | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soul n’ Spirit | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shanty Town | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Where’s My Bike | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shot Gun Phil | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Poobah | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ave Caesar | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Princess Niigon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Deep Blue Sea | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tethra’s Magic | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lisa’s Escarpment | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Phil’s Glory | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Little Christmas | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Luckbealady Now | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rainbows Ahead | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lookingforanewspot | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sam’s Cross | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Donnas Sweet Heart | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Valid N Gold | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Seewill | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sinful Pleasures | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Roxy Red | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greek Justice | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Brie | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beau’s Beauty | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Vision | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hailey’s Prize | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Scarlett | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Red Cabernet | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Afleet Doll | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Vivi | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New Providence S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pink Lloyd | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seffeara | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jacks Escarpment | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phil in the Blank | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ted W | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Grass Creek | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Azimut | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boreal Spirit | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Wally | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lillz Pearl | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Ring Circus | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Circle of Friends | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fireball Merlin | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Salsa Bay | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Macho Brew | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Holy Whirl Wind | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ethanol | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mechanical | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Daily Brew | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leonard’s Bay | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gordie Mac | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sterling Silence | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hunts Bay | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Head Hunter | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hangtime | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starinthemaking | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spanish Express | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scout’s Vision | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Robustious | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holtz | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.