June 9, 2017 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pinking of You | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cheyenne Blues | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Dinah | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kate N Abs Reward | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Am Miss Brown | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Trick | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Man of Stature | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Plug Catcher | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Halo Nation | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Blessing | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Awesome Thought | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Chow | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rich Daddy | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Northeast Bound | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | In the Mood | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Laudation | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Go Noni Go | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady O’Toole | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Patrona Margarita | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Patti Patti Patti | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No Partners | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Upset Brewing | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shine Time | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sexy Tina | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Improviser | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loyalist | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neighborhood Cat | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Utmost Intensity | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Henderson Country | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sounds Divine | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Out of the Trappe | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Knight of Dreams | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mineyerownmalone | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crooked as Can Be | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Shot | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Brother Don | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Hawk | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backlash | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Very Elegant | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Panther | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Tiara | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twinkles | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | R Lady Hansen | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greeley and Gold | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marnie Star | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Fire Fly | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | North Princess | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archarityrobbyn | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leave It to Marie | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reward’s Girl | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin Ash | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jemrose | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abboccato | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Prize | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greeley and Ariana | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Gal | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ruby Notion | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Saks | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nobody’s Fault | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boom Bam Bing | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clairenation | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Melaleuca | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sevenheartswarrior | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Altito | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Samargo | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Path Less Traveled | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Army Grey | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Teenertown Prince | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Again | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Ambition | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Promises to Keep | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crafty Cat | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rusty | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.