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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, July 4, 2017

July 4, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Desirous 1.40 1.3 2-1
5 5 Feistyloulabelle 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Heavenly Lucky 1.20 3.3 6-1
1 1 You Promise 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Shezastraybullet 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Long Island Lady 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Princess Sariah 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Miss Aja Brown 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Hold On Momma 12.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
9 7 Queen of Castle 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Bigkat and Camille 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Stay Safe Kitten 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 6 It’s Two Hot Benny 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Esther the Queen 3.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
6 4 Two Term Max 15.00 7.5 14-1
5 3 Milaya 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Tommy T 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Phi Beta Express 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Weather Wiz 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Old Dubai 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Thaddeus 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Ride On Faith 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Arch Daddy 10.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Rock Ave. Road 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Catch Your Dreams 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Lulu’s Pom Pom 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Out of Nowhere 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Tres Charmant 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Danielle’s Pride 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Amber Dancer 6.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Tiffany’s Vision 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Red Brook Road 15.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Elenzee 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 D’yer Mak’er 12.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Bourbon Empire 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 6 Altesino 15.00 5 9-1
1A 8 Gorelli 15.00 6 11-1 Scr
2 1 Outrageous Bet 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Blame the Thief 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 New York Song 4.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Peculiar Sensation 15.00 9.3 17-1
11 11 Ordinaire 6.00 10 19-1
7 7 Freedom Seven 15.00 10.3 19-1
9 9 One Eyed Ray 20.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Dream Doctor 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Iron Power 2.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
7 7 Orino 10.00 3 6-1 Scr
2 2 Dot Matrix 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Mr Harlan 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Rapt 3.50 5.3 10-1
6 5 Leaveematthegate 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Curtis 12.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Caviar Czar (IRE) 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Tale of Mist 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Everybodyluvsrudy 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Vincento 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Dogtown 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Emancipation 2.50 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Manila S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Big Handsome 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kitten’s Cat 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Bricks and Mortar 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Dover Cliffs 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Harlan’s Harmony 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Holiday Stone 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Secretary At War 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 The Pooch 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Tiz Wicked 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Hopper Dropper 8.00 4 8-1
16 16 Colonel Andy 3.50 4.3 8-1 Scr
9 9 Frost Proof 20.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
11 10 Clonedsimmard 20.00 7.5 14-1
15 15 Legendary Humor 8.00 8 15-1 Scr
10 9 Light the Vow 5.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Lobbyist 30.00 9 17-1
14 14 Psychic Energy 4.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
3 3 Heat Check 3.50 9.8 18-1
6 6 Leatherhead Lurie 30.00 11.5 22-1
12 11 Thenameescapesme 15.00 12 23-1
1 1 Daring Destiny 4.00 12.5 24-1
4 4 Tiffanys Freud 15.00 13.3 25-1
13 13 Oh So Sinister 20.00 15.3 29-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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