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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, July 4, 2017

July 4, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Del Mar Ann 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Algorhythmic 1.20 2.5 5-1
8 8 Ticaboo 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Indriya 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sweet Dragon Fly (GB) 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Cuyathy 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Easy Grader 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Qiaona 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Southern Mischief 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Runnin for Tuition 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 Tiki Bar Logic 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Miss Remembering 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Lady Ninja 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Settle Down Eileen 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 Spinyatta 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Arrowsphere 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Lyrics 2.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 California Breeze 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Sweet Connie 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Causeforcommotion 3.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Fast Bid (IRE) 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Time for Luck 50.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Trappiza 8.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Night Launch 30.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Well Maybe 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Ryderroo 30.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Airfoil 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Cherokee Dynasty 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Percy’s Bluff 2.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Forest Blue 1.20 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 True Ranger 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Atomic Action 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Big Bad Jon 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Golden Atlantic 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Getoffmyback 1.80 4.8 9-1
7 7 Curly Creek 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Redneck Crazy 3.50 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – American S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 98 Smokey Image 0.00 1.5 3-1 Scr
3 2 Kenjisstorm 10.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Pee Wee Reese 4.00 3 6-1
5 4 Alert Bay 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Om 2.50 4.8 9-1
8 7 Flamboyant (FR) 5.00 5 9-1
6 5 Patentar (FR) 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Hunt (IRE) 5.00 7.8 15-1
7 6 Si Sage (FR) 10.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Sunset Seven 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Oh Jerry 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Rocky Rogue 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Baron Charmant 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Shackalov 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Time for Cioppino 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Fake News 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Mac McLovin 20.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Powerful Thirst 4.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Lucky Sun 8.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 8 American League 5.00 1.8 3-1
11 10 David’s Memory 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 My Man Chuckles 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Buckys Pick 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Tell Me a Story 6.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Lord of Chaos 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 98 Ann Arbor Eddie 0.00 6.8 13-1 Scr
8 7 Kona Dreams 12.00 7 13-1
4 3 Rare Candy 12.00 8 15-1
3 2 Fritz Johansen 3.50 8.5 16-1
13 12 Bottle Rocket 5.00 9.8 18-1
5 4 Gutsy Ruler 20.00 10.3 19-1
14 98 Chips All In 0.00 10.5 20-1 Scr
12 11 Mischief Clem 20.00 12.8 24-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 G Q Covergirl 1.80 2.5 5-1
3 3 Time for Ebby 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Amy Jean 20.00 3 6-1
8 8 Knk’s Dolce Vita 4.00 5 9-1
1 1 Obey 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Discatsonthesquare 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Mining Diamonds 5.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Dis Smart Cat 4.50 6.8 13-1
4 4 Lake Time 8.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 98 Waldorf 0.00 0.8 1-1 Scr
6 6 Union Rebel 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Ral Rue 12.00 4 8-1
9 9 Secret Touch 12.00 4.5 9-1
14 98 Taste’s Legend 0.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
4 4 Arch Prince 8.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 The Union Forever 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Kinematico 5.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 I’m Living Proof 6.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Traffic Thief 20.00 9 17-1
7 7 Charming Morty 8.00 10.5 20-1
5 5 Taki’s Choice 4.00 10.8 20-1
1 1 Perfection Tale 20.00 11 21-1
11 11 Insubordination 10.00 11.8 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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