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Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 27, 2017

July 27, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Prince Cheval 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Bel Air Bullet 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Afortable 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Spanish Justice 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Gold Hawk 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Limestone 5.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 Golden Gift 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 2 Cadet Captain 1.20 2.5 5-1
6 4 Prize Native 30.00 3.3 6-1
3 0 Solar Flair 3.50 3.5 7-1 Scr
1 1 Limeshare 8.00 5 9-1
2 0 Cruachan 4.50 5.5 10-1 Scr
5 3 Fatty Langbein 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Case Cracker 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Hollarforadollar 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Larissa’s Love 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Dandy Rap 3.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Pinkchampagneonice 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Exquisite Lady 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Exactness 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tiree 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Plains Warrior 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Kyzan 2.50 4 8-1
7 7 Gritty Greeley 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Azeg 4.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Thundergram 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Petal Path 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Ain’t That Funny 2.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Ice Princess Emily 12.00 3 6-1
1 1 Glimmer of Light 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Cuddle Me 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Lakota Lucy 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Revive 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Saturdays Hangover 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 New York Boy 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Our Bruce 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 High On Sugar 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Hide the Evidence 1.60 4.8 9-1
1 1 Cryptocontrol 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 0 Hiparko 10.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
3 3 Trumpified 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 0 Wicked Stride 10.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
10 0 Mr Dewey 10.00 3 6-1 Scr
4 3 Intrepid Humor 6.00 4.8 9-1
11 0 Consequential 15.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
1 1 Gain Ground 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 7 Firespike 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Imposing Will 5.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Fort Ridge 4.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Mongol G 3.50 7.8 15-1
5 4 Wild Scat Blue 30.00 8.3 16-1
12 0 Carnoustie 12.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
8 0 Hart Hills Road 20.00 11.8 22-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 5 Aim to Tease 3.00 2 4-1
4 0 O No Not U Again 10.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
13 0 Tiz Samurai 20.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
7 0 Uncle Mo Money 8.00 3.8 7-1 Scr
5 0 Win D Prado 10.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
6 2 Red Butte 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 3 Summer Disco 10.00 7.5 14-1
2 0 Stealthy Traveler 30.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
12 6 Gray Dude 2.50 8.5 16-1
10 4 Kielbasa 12.00 9.8 18-1
3 0 Candy Carlos 30.00 10 19-1 Scr
14 0 Mongolian Holiday 10.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
1 1 Enchanted Rambam 30.00 12.5 24-1
8 0 A Nice Slewish Boy 12.00 13 25-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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