July 27, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jes Jaa | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kenji’s Savior | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Values | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seal Six | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zarqa Star | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cupid’s Beau | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Miss Trusty | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lea’s Reward | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fellina | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 0 | Cheyenne Dancer | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Bellasario | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Quiet No More | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Californiasummer | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tenthousandreasons | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Carmela | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Varsovienne | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourque | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oopper Wallah | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Most Determined | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | City Storm | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Interrogator | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exclusively Ours | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Goodbye | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Lucky With You | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Make It a Triple | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cayate | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raul Rosas | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Vic | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chidamac | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Easy Game | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tule Fog | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rule Number Eight | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | California Mover | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Pegasus | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rocky Rogue | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baron Charmant | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mac McLovin | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 0 | Poise to Strike | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Fake News | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oh Man | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 0 | Handsome Swede | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Titan | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Romano | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 0 | Virghazi | 0.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 0 | Ministertomyheart | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Get Em Up Scout | 4.50 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paul’s Diva | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0 | Paschalitsa | 0.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Lethal Legacy | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonshine Annie | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Light | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spin Me a Kiss | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Aflewency | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Very Hot | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sea Smoke | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hawk’s Journey | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Avicii | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Run for Retts | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Plastered | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s a Warrior | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 0 | Mangita | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Mended | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Kendra | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lady Preacher | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz My Love | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tweeting | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 0 | Majestic Diva | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Flower Heart Deer | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Scatty Oh | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gee Street | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Bailee | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Audubon | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Night Launch | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.