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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 11, 2017

August 11, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Baby Gronk 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Poise to Strike 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Royal Trump 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Nehemiah 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Southern Warlord 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Minister’s Glory 5.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Shane Doan 2.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Fabrication 12.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Psycho Dar 12.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Conquest Typhoon 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Chicago Style 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Little Scotty 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 French Getaway 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Oscar Dominguez (IRE) 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Juristar (URU) 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Paws Up Kaylin 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Willows Babe 1.80 2.5 5-1
6 6 Rossmoor Way 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Sugaratsundown 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Pray for Corday 20.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
10 9 Innyminniemineymoe 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 Derby Treasure 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Tiger Mom 5.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 We Will Re Joyce 4.50 8 15-1
1 1 Honorable Song 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Preacher Roe 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Tough But Nice 15.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Spanish Hombre 3.50 4 8-1
10 10 Awesome Return 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Lord of Chaos 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Path of David 6.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Alaskan Son (IRE) 6.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Pound Piece (IRE) 10.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
6 6 Crown the Kitten 4.50 8.3 16-1
13 13 Southern Freedom 4.00 8.8 17-1 Scr
4 4 Excessive Kid 12.00 9 17-1
9 9 Il Segreto (FR) 6.00 10.5 20-1
3 3 Moving 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Respect the Shot 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Baron Charmant 20.00 3 6-1
5 5 Wildcat Kaos 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Mac McLovin 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Unobtainable 2.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Starship Chewy 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Weiden 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Big Bad Gary 3.50 7.5 14-1
2 2 Star Warrior 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Pretty Owl 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Hot Blooded Girl 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Meiji 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Malibu Model 20.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 So I Sang 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Anonymity 5.00 6 11-1
4 4 Delectable 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Phantom Proton 6.00 8 15-1
2 2 Queen of Troy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Solana Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Majestic Heat 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Starlite Style 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Shehastheritestuff 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Moonless Sky 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Dressed to a T 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 How Unusual 5.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Lynne’s Legacy 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Qiaona 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Desert General 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Secret Touch 5.00 2 4-1
9 9 Lucky Patrick 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Lymebyrd 8.00 5 9-1
10 10 Quiet Dude 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 War Union 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Dukes Up 6.00 6 11-1
6 6 Kionntal 6.00 8 15-1
7 7 Action Hero 12.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Super Echelon 6.00 8.5 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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