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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 16, 2017

August 16, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Little Bit Lovely 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Not too Shiny 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Passionate Emotion 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Pragmatical 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Wedding Blush 2.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Time for Ebby 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Song of Ekati 5.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 1 Candyman Garret 1.80 1.4 3-1
6 4 Dramatic Ride 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Wild Verse 2.50 2.4 5-1 Scr
3 2 Charming Gent 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Lombo 15.00 4 8-1 Scr
4 3 Midnight Run 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 5 Alphadar 6.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Indriya 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Lajatico (GB) 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sturdy One 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Snow Cloud (IRE) 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Cuyathy 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Easy Grader 4.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 My Dynamo 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Lucky With You 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 3 Trickonomics 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Sunday Nap 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Joshuas Glory 20.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
5 4 Bolster 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Decarchy Dawn 3.00 5 9-1
7 6 Reverend Al 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 King Darius 20.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Southern Freedom 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Unusual Taste 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 To the Bar 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Ebadan (IRE) 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Conquest Sabre Cat 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Seeking the West 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Sky Preacher 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Abbey Vale (IRE) 2.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Terrys Tom Cat 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 9 Anita G. 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Jill Madden 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Honor Maker 10.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Sassy Ashley 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Zanab 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Lady Cloud 5.00 6 11-1
5 5 Hennessy Storm 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Coronado Cool 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Ocean Dream 6.00 7.1 14-1
3 3 Reinahermosa 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 She Began Again 0.00 9 17-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ctt And Toc H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Goldy Espony (FR) 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Place des Vosges 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Dreamarcher 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Decked Out 3.00 4.9 9-1 Scr
4 4 Dynamic Mizzes K 15.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Hiking 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Ginga (ARG) 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Responsibleforlove (IRE) 4.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 You’re A Goat (GB) 8.00 8 15-1
7 6 Kiss Me Now (BRZ) 15.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Hotsy Dotsy 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Of Note 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Oh Scatty Oh 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Quiet No More 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Amaranta 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Colonel Peggy Sue 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Chileanna 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Champagne Elegance 20.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Blue Over You 5.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Riverka 30.00 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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