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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 17, 2017

August 17, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Kristie’s Heart 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Where’s the D 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Papa Mambo 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Be a Lady 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Southern Treasure 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Altaira 3.50 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Papa Turf 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Shackleford Banks 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Over Achiever 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Jonny’s Choice 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Sense of Glory 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Ground Rules 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Muchos Besos 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Paddy Jean 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Tiz Bailee 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Lady Preacher 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Relentless Miss 2.50 4.4 8-1
9 8 Arch of Troy 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Fast Bid (IRE) 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Gift Giver Linda 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Specter 4.00 7.1 14-1 Scr
10 9 Lady Acclamation 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Dedication 10.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Jensen 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Sidepocket Champ 20.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Sindys Luck 3.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Getoffmyback 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Gunslinger 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 What We Doing 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Prince of Silver 20.00 7.1 14-1
7 7 Zarqa Star 5.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Strong Values 6.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Giro Candito 8.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Bullet Express 12.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Super Patriot 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sweet Sophie Grace 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Silverspun Pickup 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 7 My Claw 4.50 3 6-1
6 5 Callie Mesa 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 California Jewels 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Sing a Solo 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 It’s About Alex 8.00 4.4 8-1 Scr
9 8 Star of Kobol 6.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Easy Song 5.00 2.7 5-1 Scr
7 6 Jennyway U Want It 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Sea Smoke 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Moonshine Annie 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Lethal Legacy 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 My Pi Romancer 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Aflewency 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 1 Noted and Quoted 1.80 2.3 4-1
6 5 Avicii 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 4 Fact of Life 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Run for Retts 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Auntjenn 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Cuddle Alert 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Bitzka 8.00 5.9 11-1 Scr
8 8 Dis Smart Cat 12.00 6.6 12-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Go Ghetto 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Harrovian 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Marq One 2.50 4.4 8-1
11 10 Rick’s Dream 6.00 5 9-1
10 10 Alpha Uno 0.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
8 8 Sumday Sumday 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Fall Harvest 3.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Big Day Tomorrow 10.00 7 13-1
7 7 Humid 30.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 You’ll Be Lucky 20.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Second Gear 0.00 9.4 18-1 Scr
5 5 Wonderoveryonder 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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