August 18, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Exactness | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Denoun the Road | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Diver | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gretsie | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Rose Cat | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Pinata | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peteizum | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Tiger Eyes | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | J P’s Gladys | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jiffy Jenni | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lozen | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lil Rum Tum | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mysouthernsunshine | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Revive | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Blarney | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bistro Moncur | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brittney On Blades | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Acrobatic Ally | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Darling Sofia | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Choir | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wind Cheater | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She’s Fine Tuned | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Jete Ete | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mystique Artiste | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silvera | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Teach Me Tonight | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Altered Mind | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Circuit Reboot | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Judge N Ruler | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Soulja Slim | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pleasant Street | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iter | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Preemptive Strike | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Richiesinthehouse | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Consequential | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sea of Anarchy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Results | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bowknot Billy | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tambov | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sudden Urges | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Touch | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ferlin Husky | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Stein | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Sock Mauk | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Monday Pirate | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Force It | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister McGehee | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Under the Table | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grahm From Above | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Man | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amaroq | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Commish | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solanair | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Poncho | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Brass | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Assaulter | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Guard Your Grill | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Oscarific | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Turnem | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Invictor | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chas Tom | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.