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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 19, 2017

August 19, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Bucky Goldstein 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Inhibition 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Hoppitty 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 The Real McCann 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Dare to Believe 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Drum Roll Please 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Southern Thunder 4.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Second Gear 12.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Lord Simba 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 American Pastime 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Coastline 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Taman Guard 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Distinctive B 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Prime Issue 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 At Ease 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Rare Candy 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Fritz Johansen 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Record Highs 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 El Tovar 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Calvert Street 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Incredible Luck 5.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Love My Bud 8.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Oopper Wallah 5.00 2.1 4-1
11 10 True Ranger 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 My Farmer 0.00 3.9 7-1 Scr
9 8 Special Story 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Aeon 3.50 5 9-1
10 9 Tribal Roar 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Midnight Harbor 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Summer Buddha 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Mt. Leinster 6.00 8 15-1
6 5 Rockin My Mojo 15.00 9.3 18-1
7 6 Stand Up Stand Out 20.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Troublewithatee 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Aussie Fox 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Lucky Soul 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Indoctrination (IRE) 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 Cascade Rock (IRE) 6.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Potent 20.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Langham 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Icy Street 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Saltini 15.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 Bacoli 20.00 9 17-1
13 13 Taniko 12.00 9.3 18-1 Scr
2 2 Malibu Music 8.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Bryan Habana (ARG) 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 D D’s Lute 12.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Tyfosha 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mapit 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Crownstone 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Our Slick Chick 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Dr. Ann 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Moonshine Memories 3.00 5 9-1
3 3 Shaken Memories 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Conformation 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Del Mar H. Presented By The Japan Racing Association

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Ashleyluvssugar 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Flamboyant (FR) 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Itsinthepost (FR) 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Big John B 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Liam the Charmer 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Monster Bea 20.00 7.1 14-1
12 12 Mr. Roary 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Hunt (IRE) 3.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Inordinate 8.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 He Will 12.00 8 15-1
10 10 Up With the Birds 20.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Prime Attraction 20.00 10.4 20-1
4 4 Editore (BRZ) 30.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – $1 Million Tvg Pacific Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Arrogate 1.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Collected 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Accelerate 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Donworth 15.00 4 8-1
5 4 Hard Aces 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Royal Albert Hall (GB) 30.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Curlin Road 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Sorry Erik 30.00 7.9 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Americanize 3.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Edwards Going Left 2.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Rockin Rudy 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Street Vision 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Tell Me a Story 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 The Rule of King’s 20.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Big League 8.00 7.1 14-1
2 2 Nardo 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Dangerfield 5.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Magic Taste 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Airlite 15.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Del Mar Oaks Presented By The Jockey Club

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Madam Dancealot (IRE) 4.50 2.9 5-1
9 8 Storm the Hill 20.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Dream Dancing 6.00 4.3 8-1
11 10 Pacific Wind 12.00 4.6 9-1
12 11 Beau Recall (IRE) 6.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Pistol Packin Rose 0.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
5 4 Con Te Partiro 3.50 7.4 14-1
6 5 Meadowsweet 12.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Blame It On Alphie 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Kenda 20.00 9 17-1
13 12 Tapped 8.00 9.3 18-1
8 7 Kathy’s Song 15.00 10.7 20-1
7 6 Vexatious 8.00 10.7 20-1
14 14 Bernina Star 30.00 11.7 22-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Jabber Now 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Hailey Rachele 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Laynee 3.00 4 8-1
6 5 Powder 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Meet and Greet 3.50 4.6 9-1 Scr
9 8 Bella Sierra 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Warm It Up 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Hope She Will 4.00 7.3 14-1
10 9 Paula With a P 20.00 8 15-1
7 6 Unusually Stylish 20.00 9.6 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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