August 24, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bull E Winkle | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Way | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clockwork King | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Heaven’s Buzz | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alwaysmypleasure | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bartbaalu | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Iter | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Checkmate Charlie | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Oscarific | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gentleman Richie | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Senor Blanco | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Ready Poncho | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J K’s Dream | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | St. Louis City | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classy Student | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chica Bonita | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Appeal | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Skip Fiji | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Livingston | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Valley | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Gables | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commercial Appeal | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baltic Star | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reminisce | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Tanks | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hurraca | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Adens Dream | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Singingintheheat | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Applicator | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Vo | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Voodoo Spell | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cashel Rock | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashdance Road | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Do Not Enter | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Iker | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Stranglehold | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Out of the Woods | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Lights On Brite | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flyingbyu | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Command | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 4 | Offlee Fun | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Just Blaze | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Richiesonarampage | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Abubu | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Itching for Attack | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Colonel Fred | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Musket Hunter | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Syrup | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Raisedonrocknroll | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I Call | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kantastic | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phearless Phyllis | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Blue Dot | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Romantic Attack | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shrimp | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Muskrat Love | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carmella P | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gallant Eagle (IRE) | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fist Full | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Daddy | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cov | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bull Market Richie | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Russian Partisan | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Khamsa Tfu | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Limeshare | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chu Chu Johnnie | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.