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Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 4, 2017

September 4, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Bank Account 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Out of the Woods 2.50 3.3 6-1 Scr
3 2 Stranglehold 1.60 3.6 7-1
2 1 Roarin Missile 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Lights On Brite 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Offlee Fun 3.50 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Dayin Deauville 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lady Dozer 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Celtic Gold 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Appollos Baby Girl 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Seattle Train 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Fahionably Late 3.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Etoile d’Allie 6.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Heidi Who 1.80 2.7 5-1
5 5 Listen to Mama 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Je Suis Belle 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Dundalk Bay 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sweet Abigail 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 May Be Suspect 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 R Four O One K 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Crafty’s Way 1.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Evasive Storm 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Indigirka 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Sea Diva 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Moment in the Wind 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Hopeful Joy 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Flash N Go 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Rolling Meadows S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Royalty Princess 15.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Shezahotmama 3.50 2.9 5-1
5 3 Babybluesbdancing 0.50 3.1 6-1
6 4 Jolee 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Tannah’blu 10.00 4.4 8-1 Scr
3 3 Saturday’s Song 15.00 4.6 9-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Oak Brook 0.60 1.4 3-1
3 3 Nate the Natural 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Letthebigshot Roll 5.00 3 6-1 Scr
2 2 Cashel Rock 20.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Christian C 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Fort Ridge 4.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Fort Dixie 30.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Mo’s M V P 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Air Turbulence 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Dreamofjean E. 1.20 3.6 7-1
4 3 Clever Serve 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Nook 6.00 4 8-1 Scr
6 5 Cause Ioya 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Bella Bella 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Mallory’s Channel 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Mystique Artiste 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Koala Lake 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Ain’t That Funny 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Cuddle Me 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Tizamint 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Eva Destruction 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Gritty Kitty 4.00 6 11-1
2 2 Precious Kowgirl 4.50 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Exactness 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Profluent 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 O No Not U Again 3.00 4 8-1
7 7 Gritty Greeley 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Oltre’ Oro 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Wildwood Nafir 4.50 5 9-1
3 3 Mean Intentions 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Costly King 6.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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