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Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 21, 2017

September 21, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Street Biz 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Barb n’ Don 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Tam 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Saturday’s Song 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Pure Blarney 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Konza Khrome 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 Prince Cheval 0.80 1 2-1
5 3 Bull Market Richie 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Cruachan 5.00 3.8 7-1 Scr
6 4 Limeshare 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Azeg 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 West Ghost 3.00 5 9-1
4 4 Peteizum 30.00 7 13-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Jimmy D 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 My Baby Boy 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Colonel Fred 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Warleggan 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Cartersville 8.00 5 9-1 Scr
5 5 Next Monday 3.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 I’m Calling Dibs 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Hawk’s Image 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Canette 15.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Pale Hose 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Hey Pretty Boy 2.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Edging 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Electrifying 4.50 6 11-1
7 7 Prize Native 30.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Saturdayatbernies 12.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Exactness 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Mean Intentions 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Bank Account 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Out of the Woods 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Gritty Greeley 4.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Do Not Enter 2.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Monday Pirate 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Iker 3.50 6.5 12-1
3 3 Heza Great Friend 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Blue Sky Kowboy 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 No Boundaries 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Alazan Shiner 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Don’t Split Tens 5.00 4 8-1
10 10 Memory Bank 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Gary Luke 30.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Richiesinthehouse 4.50 6.8 13-1
1 1 Maxus 30.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 All Strikes 20.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Little Ike 30.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Cordele 3.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Lookforasmile 5.00 3 6-1 Scr
11 11 Betruetoyourschool 20.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
8 5 Heir Ball 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 4 Queenoftheroad 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Sullyvin’s G G 6.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
1 1 Queen of Wildwood 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Celtic Gold 6.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
10 6 Posh Ruler 30.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Henry’s Song 20.00 9.8 18-1 Scr
3 2 Wind Cheater 15.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Hourly 6.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Toll Guard 5.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
9 9 Three Pillars 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Yenisey 15.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Heza Tinker 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Rich Tradition 1.60 6.3 12-1
3 3 Our Bruce 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Lovedtalkintoeddi 30.00 8 15-1
1 1 Willie’s Mon 8.00 8 15-1
4 4 Trumpified 30.00 10 19-1
6 6 Cowboy Classic 20.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Consequential 5.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 New York Boy 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Sacred Promise 10.00 4.5 9-1
12 11 Sea of Anarchy 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Summer Spice 3.50 5.5 10-1
8 8 Ready Poncho 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Giant Results 8.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Find Silver 8.00 7.3 14-1
13 12 Hide the Evidence 5.00 9 17-1
11 11 Heaven’s Buzz 20.00 9.5 18-1 Scr
4 4 Greyt Oak 8.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Invictor 30.00 12 23-1
5 5 Outside In 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 4 Bull E Winkle 5.00 1.5 3-1
9 6 Inkspired 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 3 Mr. Stein 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 My Pal Al 20.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
1 1 Savie 10.00 5 9-1 Scr
11 8 Mister Maestro 2.00 5.5 10-1
8 5 Sky Wonder 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Three Golden Rules 30.00 9 17-1 Scr
3 2 M J Seeker 30.00 9.5 18-1
2 1 Mister McGehee 12.00 9.8 18-1
10 7 Go Beeja 20.00 9.8 18-1
12 9 Tail Gunner Carl 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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