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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 21, 2017

September 21, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Frontier Warrior 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Lake Creek 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mr Brioni 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Haywired 1.80 3.3 6-1
6 6 Behzad’s Pride 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Honest Fight 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Tiz Showbiz 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Mountain Cry 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Speedy Mexican 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Lon’s True Passion 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Marble Falls 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Molten Steel 15.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
4 3 Beauziggity 3.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Helen’s Last Dance 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Daniella 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Pride Leader 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Hope and a Prayer 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Regal Treasure 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Shack’s Legacy 6.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Lite Last Nite 20.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
3 3 Miz Bernie 4.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Lupo’s Way 3.50 7.3 14-1
10 10 Joan’s Cat Bird 20.00 9.8 18-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Connected Fitness 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Mining for Candy 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Head for the Shore 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Expect Wonderful 3.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
6 5 Jimmy’s Legacy 6.00 5 9-1
4 3 I’m Listening 4.50 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 2 Graceful Light 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Take It Inside 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 5 Hissy Fit 15.00 4 8-1
9 7 Bohemian Bliss 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 So Royal 8.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
10 10 Abby Dearest 15.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
8 6 Pira 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Shipwreck Cove 4.50 7.3 14-1 Scr
5 3 Lady From Cheyenne 12.00 8 15-1
6 4 Passing Pfast 5.00 9 17-1
3 3 I Am Superior Too 10.00 9.3 17-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Teufles and Roses 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 G. I. Girl 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Credit Alert 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Critical Humor 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Sofia Maria R. 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Why Not Be Sexy 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Scorpion Dancer 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 13 Flight Crew 10.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
3 1 Good Save 10.00 3.3 6-1
9 6 Axtell 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Stolen Love 15.00 5 9-1 Scr
2 1 Plenty Elusive 15.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
6 3 Takethattothebank 6.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Cash Money Always 15.00 7.8 15-1 Scr
11 7 Odlum 8.00 7.8 15-1
5 2 Chocolateicecream 15.00 8.3 16-1
8 4 No Bull Addiction 12.00 10 19-1
14 14 Total Joint 4.00 10 19-1 Scr
1A 15 Can’tmakethisup 12.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
4 3 Sound Off 8.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
1 5 Asset Allocation 12.00 12.8 24-1
12 8 Diana’s Vendetta 20.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 RB WICKED RICH 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 SABRES EDGE 1.80 1.8 3-1
3 3 SISAZDESTINY 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 SAND TOKEN 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 WMA ANGEL POWER 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 DESERT DEW 8.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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