September 24, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Letter Fly | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Geocentric | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patsy’s Star | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Athdara | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Frosty Vixen | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Brew | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Penny Stamp | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Corryvrechan | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beliveau | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sunny’s Rainbow | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crushin It | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red At Last | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Classic Force | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wind Warning | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Rare Appeal | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Black Storm | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cross Border | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D’s Dark Knight | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ethanator | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Wan | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Ring of Heat | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky B. N. | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Milwaukee Saint | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spadina Road | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Defondo | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snowy Legacy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hammerstein | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Charlie | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Virga | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kayez | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Into the Future | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sent From Heaven | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Harper P M | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Finbar | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Bobby’s Escape | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flight Deck | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blakey | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zucker | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | It’s Fate | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Polar Light | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Is Bourbon | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ciminio | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Papa D | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Booming Bodhran | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Parrsboro | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Point of Order | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Magical Breeze | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Handsome Like Me | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crumlin Night | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remember Gizmo | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Ring | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Martinkelly | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disputed Bid | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loyalty Boy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Onelittlesparrow | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Marten River | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cheburashka | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Singandcryindubai | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Secret | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ratface Macdougall | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Brother | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Ruler | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Whistler | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Classy ‘n Smart S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Internal Bourbon | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweater Weather | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Generous Touch | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crumlin Spirit | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trini Brewnette | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sparkles’ Girl | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Kiss | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Niigon’s Bay | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West L. A. Girl | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Niigon’s Eclipse | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uchenna (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kylla Instinct (GB) | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Liberty Kitten | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reserved | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spring Tempest | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy’s Great Bay | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Obeah Woman | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gilded Splinters | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Daylight Breeze | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aye Aye Captain | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chiricahua Signal | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Flash | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Escondera | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nupogodi | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Front Nine | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ben Lomond | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ritzy Rose | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Carolina Grace | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Edisto Island | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Via Ann | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burnt Island | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Night Gathers (IRE) | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galileo Gal (IRE) | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lillz So Precious | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leisure | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Autonomic | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Falls (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.