Site icon Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 24, 2017

September 24, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Letter Fly 15.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Geocentric 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Patsy’s Star 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Athdara 4.50 4.4 8-1 Scr
6 5 Frosty Vixen 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Sweet Brew 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Penny Stamp 2.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Corryvrechan 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Beliveau 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 6 Sunny’s Rainbow 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Crushin It 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Red At Last 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Classic Force 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Wind Warning 20.00 5.3 10-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 1 Rare Appeal 12.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Big Black Storm 3.00 2.4 5-1
9 8 Cross Border 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 5 D’s Dark Knight 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Ethanator 3.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Last Wan 6.00 5.7 11-1 Scr
7 6 Ring of Heat 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 4 Lucky B. N. 10.00 6 11-1
3 2 Milwaukee Saint 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Spadina Road 20.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Defondo 1.60 2.3 4-1
4 4 Snowy Legacy 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Hammerstein 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Brilliant Charlie 3.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Virga 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Kayez 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Into the Future 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Sent From Heaven 6.00 2 4-1
13 13 Harper P M 2.50 3.1 6-1 Scr
15 15 Finbar 20.00 4.7 9-1 Scr
4 4 Bobby’s Escape 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Flight Deck 8.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Blakey 5.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Zucker 12.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 It’s Fate 3.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Polar Light 4.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Is Bourbon 15.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Ciminio 15.00 8 15-1
14 14 Papa D 20.00 9.1 17-1 Scr
16 16 Booming Bodhran 12.00 9.4 18-1 Scr
6 6 Parrsboro 20.00 10.7 20-1
5 5 Point of Order 20.00 10.9 21-1
12 12 Magical Breeze 20.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Handsome Like Me 1.60 2.3 4-1
1 1 Crumlin Night 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Remember Gizmo 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Silent Ring 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Martinkelly 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Disputed Bid 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Loyalty Boy 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Onelittlesparrow 20.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Marten River 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Kaili’s Big Boy 20.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Cheburashka 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Singandcryindubai 2.50 4 8-1
8 8 Malibu Secret 5.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Ratface Macdougall 4.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Forest Brother 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Storm Ruler 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Dixie Whistler 20.00 7.4 14-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Classy ‘n Smart S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Internal Bourbon 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Sweater Weather 2.50 4 8-1
2 2 Generous Touch 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Crumlin Spirit 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Trini Brewnette 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Sparkles’ Girl 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Hot Kiss 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Niigon’s Bay 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 West L. A. Girl 12.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 7 Niigon’s Eclipse 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Uchenna (IRE) 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Kylla Instinct (GB) 2.50 4.1 8-1
8 6 Liberty Kitten 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Reserved 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Spring Tempest 15.00 5.4 10-1 Scr
6 6 Daddy’s Great Bay 20.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
4 4 Obeah Woman 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Gilded Splinters 4.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Daylight Breeze 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Aye Aye Captain 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Chiricahua Signal 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Silent Flash 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Escondera 2.50 5 9-1
8 8 Nupogodi 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Front Nine 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Ben Lomond 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Ritzy Rose 3.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Carolina Grace 6.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Edisto Island 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Via Ann 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Burnt Island 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Night Gathers (IRE) 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Galileo Gal (IRE) 3.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 Lillz So Precious 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Leisure 8.00 7.1 14-1
5 5 Autonomic 4.50 7.3 14-1
9 9 Summer Falls (IRE) 20.00 9.7 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version