September 30, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | River Deep | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valdocco | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Ready | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Why God | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elite Kid | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holland Road | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quai Voltaire | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Donald Problem | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Curtis | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Abbot | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tipsy Kitten | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Harlan’s Quest | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lone Trader | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sallisaw | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Southern Union | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Chance | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | One Eyed Ray | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Snake Oil Charlie | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canarsie Kid | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Avery Island | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roaming Union | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Road to Meath | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High North | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Call the Cat | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Verve’s Humor | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Biblical | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | First Warrior | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Via Egnatia | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soglio | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bird’s Eye View | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Funtastic | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cruz Diez | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot and Heavy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lunaire | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Holiday | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Beasley | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harlan Punch | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Alex the Terror | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Favorable Outcome | 1.20 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Squeeze | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zoot Suit | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Always a Suspect | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Square Shooter | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mai Ty One On | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Consumerconfidence | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Town | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Main Road | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Euro | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jegos Fire | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Son of Mine | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Javelin | 1.20 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Facade | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peculiar Sensation | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Freedom Seven | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Sun | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Independent Worker | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Vosburgh S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | El Deal | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Weekend Hideaway | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Takaful | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Crow | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Green Gratto | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stallwalkin’ Dude | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celtic Chaos | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pilgrim S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maraud | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Voting Control | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Looking Ready | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Evaluator | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seabhac | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morrison | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stolen Pistol | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Beldame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Verve’s Tale | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elate | 0.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Money’soncharlotte | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eskenformoney | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Presumptuous | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bombshell | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bishop’s Pond | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fanciful Angel (IRE) | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tricked Up | 50.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oscar Performance | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beach Patrol | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Grey Gatsby (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ascend | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mekhtaal (GB) | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sadler’s Joy | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Converge | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Multiplier | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Channel Maker | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.