October 6, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mazmania | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dune Buggy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justenuff Hope | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paz the Wine | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Lady | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Madame Ambassador | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Countessofpotenza | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shrink | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Icy Girl | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Cirque | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frosty Gal | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frostie Anne | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Hayne No Gayne | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archumybaby | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Eighty Eight | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridledadventure | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tricky Escape | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perdona | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Azaelia (FR) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Somethingelse | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Gibraltar (FR) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flattermefabulous | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Free N Clear | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zeven | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Magnolia | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khaleesi Kat | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Light Reign | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maddizaskar | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Mags | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Borsa Vento | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Reedini | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silver Assault | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Secret Scholar | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thaddeus | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Martino | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Laundering | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Casigordo | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Pooch | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lightning Buzz | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Saratoga Charlie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Northern Grey | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Winner’s Dream | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Startwithsilver | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Buffalo Miss | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Dixie Twister | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bigkat and Camille | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Another Genius | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Same Kinda Crazy | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | St. Patrick Frost | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Man | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Devilry | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Dwizard | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Croatia | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Frozen Angel | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Side Tracks | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Battlement (GB) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Delightful Lana | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tasteful | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Long | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Tizfire | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bareeqa | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Remarqued | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morethanawarning | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Side Up | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Sand City | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madeline’s Hope | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Verona Blue | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Passing Reminder | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Desert Affair | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wanna Be Regal | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tough Old Bird | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Party Spot | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catania Rose | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Alley Oop | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kinsale | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anna Liffey | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.