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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 6, 2017

October 6, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Mazmania 30.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Dune Buggy 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Justenuff Hope 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Paz the Wine 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Louisiana Lady 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Grandpa’s Arianna 3.50 5 9-1
11 10 Madame Ambassador 6.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Countessofpotenza 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 6 Shrink 5.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Icy Girl 20.00 9 17-1 Scr
9 8 Cirque 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Frosty Gal 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Frostie Anne 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 No Hayne No Gayne 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Archumybaby 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Three Eighty Eight 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Unbridledadventure 4.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Tricky Escape 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Perdona 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Azaelia (FR) 3.50 3 6-1 Scr
5 4 Somethingelse 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Princess Gibraltar (FR) 6.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Flattermefabulous 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Free N Clear 15.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Zeven 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Silver Magnolia 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Khaleesi Kat 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Light Reign 30.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Maddizaskar 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Sugar Mags 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Borsa Vento 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 Reedini 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 Silver Assault 12.00 4 8-1
3 2 Secret Scholar 30.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Thaddeus 8.00 6 11-1
10 9 Martino 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Money Laundering 5.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
4 3 Casigordo 6.00 8 15-1
2 1 The Pooch 30.00 8.8 17-1
12 11 Lightning Buzz 4.00 9.5 18-1
9 8 Saratoga Charlie 20.00 10 19-1
11 10 Northern Grey 15.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Winner’s Dream 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Startwithsilver 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Buffalo Miss 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 A Dixie Twister 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Bigkat and Camille 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Another Genius 10.00 6 11-1 Scr
5 5 Same Kinda Crazy 4.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 St. Patrick Frost 20.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Valiant Man 2.50 2.8 5-1 Scr
3 3 Devilry 8.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
2 1 Dwizard 1.80 4 8-1
5 3 Croatia 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 4 Frozen Angel 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 2 Side Tracks 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Battlement (GB) 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Delightful Lana 20.00 3 6-1
7 7 Tasteful 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Lucky Long 2.50 4 8-1
3 3 Conquest Tizfire 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Bareeqa 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Remarqued 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Morethanawarning 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 Bright Side Up 10.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Sand City 1.20 2.5 5-1
5 5 Madeline’s Hope 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Verona Blue 30.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Passing Reminder 12.00 4 8-1
10 9 Desert Affair 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Wanna Be Regal 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Tough Old Bird 12.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
7 6 Party Spot 5.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Catania Rose 20.00 8.5 16-1
11 10 Alley Oop 15.00 9.3 17-1
12 11 Kinsale 15.00 11 21-1
3 3 Anna Liffey 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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