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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 7, 2017

October 7, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Cause for Pardon 4.50 1.9 4-1
11 11 Michael Mundo 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Fabrication 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Ima Take Charge 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Dramatic Ride 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Cash Pilot 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Snazzy Dresser 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Fight On Forever 15.00 7.1 14-1
10 10 Virghazi 12.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Wheres Hollywood 15.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Awesome Prophecy 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Obviously Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Blackjackcat 0.80 1.9 4-1
4 4 Mach One Rules 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 He Will 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Cistron 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Bird Is the Word 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Tequila Joe 6.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Puig 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Catalina Cruiser 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Little Juanito 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Williston Dude 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Mister Mojo 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Bardstown 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 New Dancer 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Antioch 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 City of Light 1.60 1 2-1
5 4 Sir Samson 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Coils Gold 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Americanize 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Midnight Pleasure 8.00 4.1 8-1 Scr
4 3 Best Two Minutes 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Silken Spy 5.00 2.6 5-1
10 9 Katherine 4.50 4.1 8-1
13 12 Thisoleheartofmine 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Into Glamour 12.00 4.9 9-1
14 14 Great Ma Neri 6.00 5.4 10-1 Scr
9 8 Baytown Juliet 30.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Favorite Trip 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Orageuse 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Bunny Yogurt 10.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 In the Jeans 15.00 8.3 16-1
11 10 Heaven Escape 15.00 9 17-1
8 8 Journal Entry 10.00 9.1 17-1 Scr
7 7 Sappho (IRE) 3.00 9.1 17-1
12 11 Biscate 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Sprint Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 American Anthem 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Ransom the Moon 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Roy H 1.60 2.7 5-1
2 2 Giant Expectations 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Edwards Going Left 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Mr. Hinx 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Royal Trump 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Respect the Shot 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Butte City 3.50 4 8-1 Scr
1 1 Oh Man 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Royal Bar 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Run Jeanne Run 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Desert Black 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Lipster 6.00 7.1 14-1
5 5 Catability 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Starship Chewy 20.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Swingtime S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Mrs McDougal 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Insta Erma 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lady Valeur (IRE) 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Madame Stripes (ARG) 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Jeremy’s Legacy (IRE) 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Belvoir Bay (GB) 4.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Show Stealer 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Do the Dance 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Kristo 5.00 2.4 5-1 Scr
10 9 City Steel 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Just Kidding 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Tribal Jewel 4.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 I’malreadythere 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Dadtaughtmewell 10.00 6.3 12-1
11 10 Shackleford Banks 6.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Indygo Bo 6.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Pioneerof the West 15.00 7.4 14-1
12 11 El Super 12.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Blanket of Ice 8.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Muchos Besos 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Midnight Swinger 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Shazara 4.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Tammy’s Window 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Looking At Thelake 5.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Road Test 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Ragazza Di Vola 15.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Fly Far Away 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Blondy’s Reward 30.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Candy Swirls 6.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Bridal Arch 12.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Lookinforadanger 12.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Pattin for a Dance 30.00 11.9 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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