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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 9, 2017

October 9, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Unaquoi 4.00 1.7 3-1 Scr
12 12 Swapl 15.00 4.4 8-1 Scr
3 3 Wantagh Queen 5.00 4.4 8-1 Scr
5A 3 La Nina 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 2 Dealer’s Girl 6.00 5 9-1
9 6 Misty On Pointe 2.50 5.7 11-1
8 8 Steel Bay 10.00 6.7 13-1 Scr
11 11 Kitty’s Right 10.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
7 5 Sazerac Girl 3.50 7.6 14-1
10 7 Gray Veil 20.00 8.6 16-1
2 1 Andiemac 15.00 9.3 18-1
6A 4 Candycoated Dame 8.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Believe in Royalty 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Broad Surprise 2.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Real Factor 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Super Vision 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Lonely Weekend 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Millionaire Runner 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Whirlin Curlin 6.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 3 Beyond Forever 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 2 So Innocent 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Nancy R 8.00 5 9-1
7 4 Citizen by Day 4.50 5 9-1
15 8 Love in Excess 10.00 6.6 12-1
14 14 Whenallelsefails 12.00 7.7 15-1 Scr
10 6 Prettyasnewmoney 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 5 Dorothyfromdublin 6.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Proudly 12.00 8 15-1 Scr
16 16 Thirsty Bandit 15.00 8.4 16-1 Scr
2 2 Tarheel Raven 15.00 10.7 20-1 Scr
13 13 Rosetta Red 20.00 11 21-1 Scr
12 7 Annapolis Class 12.00 11.3 21-1
11 11 Moonshine Lady 10.00 12 23-1 Scr
9 9 Lilly Bay 20.00 13.7 26-1 Scr
5 5 Rosie McGuire 30.00 15.6 29-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Bun Bun 1.80 2.3 4-1
4 4 Hashtag Selfie 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Honor and Blessing 20.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Jax 8.00 5 9-1
9 9 Majorie Mugs 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Member 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Durango Girl 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Perfect Deal 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Magnificentmindset 4.50 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 All I Karabout 3.00 1.1 2-1 Scr
10 10 Mr. Magician 8.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
14 14 Fantasize 20.00 5 9-1 Scr
7 7 On Tenterhooks 4.00 5.1 10-1 Scr
2 1 Bourbon Commander 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Appa 8.00 6.9 13-1 Scr
6 3 Yorky 12.00 7.9 15-1
9 4 Ice Tea 2.50 7.9 15-1
8 8 Exclusive Lake 12.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
3 2 C B Bodemester 8.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Silver Romeo 4.50 9.1 17-1 Scr
15 15 Scrapple 30.00 10.9 21-1 Scr
13 13 Tuffy’s Lucky 30.00 11.1 21-1 Scr
12 5 Mott 20.00 12 23-1
11 11 No Fear (IRE) 30.00 14 26-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 8 Da’blues Dancer 12.00 2.6 5-1
5A 4 Scarlett’s Ransom 2.50 2.9 5-1
8A 7 Mini Donation 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lead Us to the Bar 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Wazzala 8.00 6.1 12-1 Scr
10 9 Bucklebury 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 Kitty Bank 4.50 6.6 12-1
7 6 Kinahora 10.00 7.1 14-1
6 5 Sasana (GB) 6.00 7.1 14-1
3 2 Heaven’s Door 8.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Here’s Paco 2.00 1.9 4-1
9 6 Pferd Soldat 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Xtra Wisemann 20.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
4 2 Platinum Pound 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 4 Tiz From Boston 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 5 Lake Party 6.00 5.9 11-1
10 7 Fun Prospect 3.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Sadler Bay 8.00 7.7 15-1 Scr
5 3 Hepcat 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Colonel Patsy 5.00 7.9 15-1 Scr
3 3 Kaz Country 30.00 10.6 20-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Warleigh 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 The Hardest Way 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Buckwellspent 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Sky Chaparral 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Adversary 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Bestkindoftrouble 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Discreet Heat 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Smile for Eternity 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Most Beautiful (GB) 2.50 1.9 4-1 Scr
6 3 Mile End 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Catching Fireflies 3.50 2.6 5-1 Scr
2 2 Zensational Merry 6.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
4 4 Fields of Song (IRE) 10.00 5.7 11-1 Scr
5 2 Just too Much 20.00 7 13-1
8 4 Lemon Lover 3.00 7.1 14-1
9 5 Bioterp 12.00 7.1 14-1
3 3 More Royalty 4.50 7.4 14-1 Scr
1 1 If I Was a Boy 15.00 9.4 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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