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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 12, 2017

October 12, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 9 Flatexcel 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Wolverine 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 4 No Limit 8.00 3.8 7-1
4B 3 Brouillard 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Fighting for Grace 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Dalaman 3.50 5.5 10-1
2A 2 Toothpic 6.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
9B 8 Can Go 4.00 7.5 14-1
3 2 Black Bomber 6.00 7.8 15-1
8A 7 Colour Guard 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Fancy Pinstripes 3.00 1 2-1
11 10 Hidden Garden 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Get the Girls Out 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Kickin Grass 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 Pinky Promise 6.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Myth of Wealth 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Run Juja Run 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Kells 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Newport Blue 4.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
8 7 Klassie Connect 3.50 8.8 17-1
10 9 Whiskey Chick 20.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Reeder 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Cha Mono 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Only Liquor 8.00 4 8-1
9 8 Draxhall Woods 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Court’s Ruling 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Rippin Ride 20.00 6 11-1 Scr
10 9 Lucky Lotto 6.00 7 13-1
4 4 Electrifying 3.50 7.3 14-1
1 1 Ambidextrous Alex 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Highroller Dave 4.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Mydrinkselection 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Moolamiss 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Tiger Eyes 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Be a Factor 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Arcelor 4.00 5 9-1
7 7 Salute the Warrior 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Indian Trick 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Tiz Taken Back 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Lady Arya 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 9 Hallie’s Hero 8.00 2.3 4-1
14 14 True Loyalty 4.00 3 6-1 Scr
2 2 Lion’s Share 8.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
6 5 Heza Kitten 10.00 5 9-1
3 2 Discovered 4.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Royal Holiday 3.50 6.3 12-1
11 10 Funny Duck 10.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Ohmymic 50.00 7.8 15-1
4 3 Storm Runner 5.00 8.8 17-1
13 13 Dreaming of Jo Jo 12.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
7 6 Have At It 5.00 10.8 20-1
15 15 Go for Moonshine 12.00 11 21-1 Scr
8 7 Silver Giant 20.00 12.5 24-1
1 1 Hello World 30.00 14.3 27-1
16 12 Osceola Point 20.00 14.5 27-1
12 11 Tejas Ranger (IRE) 15.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Taketothestreets 4.00 1.5 3-1 Scr
8A 7 Ain’t Misbehavin 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Shut the Box 4.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Luna de Loco 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Lieutenant Seany O 4.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Aces High 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Rich Daddy 3.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 One Kind of Crazy 12.00 7.5 14-1
7A 6 El Charro 10.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Back Togetheragain 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 11 Diamond Tap 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 South of Sanity 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Go Stellaire 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Candy Striper 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Faith Healer 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Lifefullofreinbows 4.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Chris Cove Town 6.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Socata 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Focused 6.00 8 15-1
4 4 Krissy’s Candy 5.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Graceland 12.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Just Move On 4.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Singing Bullet 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Matrooh 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Cowboy Rhythm 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Our Track 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Goats Town 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Shareholder Value 6.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Frammento 10.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Sultry 3.50 1 2-1
6 5 Tiz a Treasure 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Vision of Justice 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Classy Music 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Jehozacat 6.00 4.8 9-1
11 10 Quick Quick Quick 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 My Peeps 8.00 7 13-1
3 3 Waki Patriot 4.00 8 15-1
5 4 Lady Rubi 30.00 8.8 17-1
10 9 Elizabeth Nicole 20.00 9 17-1
4 4 Lullingstone 30.00 10.8 20-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Remedy 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Lenamarie 2.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Beau Belle 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Stella Malone 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Portrait of Emma 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Luna Rosa 15.00 7.8 15-1
15 15 Deadline 12.00 7.8 15-1 Scr
11 11 Burke’s Garden 4.00 8.3 16-1
14 14 Ruthless Child 30.00 8.5 16-1 Scr
13 13 Brassy and Sassy 30.00 8.9 17-1 Scr
7 7 Vibrant Spirit 12.00 9 17-1
12 12 Lil Moresummertime 12.00 9.8 18-1
1 1 Love Mo 3.00 11 21-1
9 9 Henry’s Honey 20.00 12.3 23-1
2 2 Our Conquistadora 30.00 13.5 26-1
16 16 Boom Pow Pow 15.00 14.8 28-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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