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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 13, 2017

October 13, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Refinance 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Archival 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Ghost Chaser 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Micozzi 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Romanologist 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Competitiveness 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Dublin Express 30.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 There They Go 12.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Ifyousnoozeyoulose 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Drover Crazy 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Pedro Cerrano 2.00 4 8-1
5 5 Global Positioning 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Not Beaucette 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Major League 3.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Lyrical Miracle 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Build to Suit 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 True Timber 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Lasting Legacy 1.40 2.5 5-1
1 1 Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Cinderela El Crome 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 10 Skyler’s Lil Cutie 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Out of Nowhere 6.00 3 6-1 Scr
11 9 Motif 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 4 The Two Nancy’s 4.00 4.8 9-1
15 12 Smart Throb 20.00 5.5 10-1
16 16 Burkey’s Babe 0.60 5.5 10-1 Scr
14 14 Live That Fantasy 30.00 7.8 15-1 Scr
13 11 Ava Rae 15.00 9 17-1
1 1 Starship Rockette 5.00 9.5 18-1
5 3 Wanna Be Regal 30.00 9.8 18-1
9 7 Youth Gone Wild 3.00 10.3 19-1
8 6 Galway Girl 30.00 11 21-1
3 3 Lady Allyn 20.00 12 23-1 Scr
10 8 Cetara 3.50 12.8 24-1
2 2 Bowl of Kisses 20.00 13.3 25-1
7 5 Alva T Soup 30.00 15.3 29-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 6 Ventry Bay 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Curtis 3.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
3 3 Forge 5.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Northern 10.00 5 9-1 Scr
6 6 Holding Aces 2.50 5 9-1 Scr
4 4 Sethary 1.80 5.5 10-1
5 5 Here and There 8.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
1 1 Axtell 12.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Psychic Energy 6.00 8.3 16-1
7 5 Heldatgunpoint 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Bad Guy 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Gotta Help Myself 15.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Five Star Bunt 1.60 4 8-1
8 8 Sicilia Sal 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Wicked Huntsman 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Mr. Hot Rocks 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Shiny Medal 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Mr. Skittles 15.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Chic N Wilbur 10.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Ambition Mission 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 8 Altar Boy 3.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Flash Trading 2.50 2.5 5-1 Scr
11 11 Uncle Sigh 12.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
6 5 I’ll Call 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Marriage Fever 5.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
3 3 Spin Cycle 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 7 Souperfast 3.50 6.8 13-1
4 4 Lewis Vale 5.00 8 15-1
1 1 King of New York 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 6 Poshsky 6.00 9 17-1
5A 5 Rprettyboyfloyd 8.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
2A 2 For Greater Glory 8.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Fire Away 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Monster Bea 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 A Lot 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tombelaine 1.80 4 8-1
5 5 Team Colors 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Ocean Knight 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Changewilldoyagood 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Vision Perfect 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 9 Merger of Banks 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Dezzer 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Threesuesjazzcat 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Equal the Score 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Shamrock Kid 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Panama Ed 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Three Goals 5.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Justifiable 10.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Freudian Analyst 20.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Guy American Dream 30.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
11 10 I’m Not Funny 20.00 10.5 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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