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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 14, 2017

October 14, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Remstin 2.00 2 4-1 Scr
4 3 My Friend 15.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Reedini 3.50 3 6-1
2 1 Ethan Hunt 6.00 4 8-1
3 2 Buddy Anthony 1.80 4 8-1
6 5 Northern Grey 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2A 1 Ninety One Assault 5.00 2 4-1
5B 4 Now in a Drive 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Playing Hooky 10.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Fallstar 4.00 4 8-1
8B 7 Winning Element 2.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Kulin Rock 3.00 6 11-1
4 3 Quintus Augustus 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Bubba Meiser 30.00 8.5 16-1 Scr
3 2 Battle of Blenheim 6.00 8.5 16-1
9A 8 Strong Side 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Tiz the Light 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Total Control 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Yaalail 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Sleigh Ride 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Expensive Taste 2.50 5 9-1
6 6 Ducru 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Bow Town Cat 12.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Epping Forest 2.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Goldwood 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Vigor 1.80 4 8-1
7 7 Tiz Rae Anna 10.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
5 5 May Flowers 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Libby’s Tail 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Pray for Bourbon 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 First Charmer 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Borsa Vento 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Lucky Town 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Professor Snape 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 The Great Samurai 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Bancroft Hall 2.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Asphalt Paving 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Facade 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Two Down One to Go 4.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Conquest Expresso 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
15 15 Barbarossa 2.00 1.8 3-1 Scr
2 2 My Mr. Wonderful 6.00 2.9 5-1 Scr
16 16 Danny California 4.00 4 8-1 Scr
9 8 Work of Art 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Dr. Baskin 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Royal Power 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 Encryption Key 8.00 6.5 12-1
13 13 Nolinski 3.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
11 10 Sea Foam 2.50 8 15-1
7 6 Joe’s Smokin Gun 15.00 9.3 17-1
5 4 Anything Pazible 10.00 10.5 20-1
12 11 Smooth Move 8.00 11.5 22-1
8 7 O Shea Can U See 12.00 11.8 22-1
14 14 Just Bustin 10.00 13.8 26-1 Scr
10 9 Leap to Glory 20.00 14.5 27-1
4 3 Beach Access 15.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 Fear 20.00 2.9 5-1
13 13 Bluegrass Singer 3.50 3 6-1 Scr
2 1 English Minister 6.00 3.8 7-1
15B 15 Bolita Boyz 6.00 5 9-1 Scr
3 3 Zoot Suit 5.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
5B 3 Daddy D T 6.00 6.3 12-1
12 10 End Play 5.00 7.5 14-1
10A 8 Partly Mocha 3.00 8 15-1
8 6 Theycallhimthekid 10.00 8.3 16-1
1A 1 Very Very Stella 3.00 8.5 16-1 Scr
9 7 Expected Ruler 12.00 10 19-1
14 14 A Fleet Attitude 6.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
6 4 Grand Sky 3.50 12.3 23-1
4 2 Spring to the Sky 8.00 13.3 25-1
11 9 Gallery 30.00 13.5 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Futurity S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Smooth B 15.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Red Peril 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Happy Like a Fool 2.50 2.9 5-1 Scr
3 2 Barry Lee 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Mojovation 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Engage 2.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pebbles S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Bellavais 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 Lido 20.00 3 6-1
2 2 Rubilinda 1.60 4 8-1
5 5 Sylphide 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Scheme 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Party Boat 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Dynatail 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Adorable Miss 6.00 7 13-1
3 3 Thais (FR) 2.50 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Warm Springs 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Croce d’Oro 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Bellows 5.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Super Hawk 10.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Hy Brasil 6.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
4 4 Ezra 30.00 6 11-1 Scr
14 14 Lead by Example 10.00 8.8 17-1 Scr
6 5 Sutter’s Mill 12.00 9 17-1
11 11 Bold Illusion 30.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
13 13 There Goes Ben 5.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
10 9 New Jersey John 3.00 9.3 17-1
16 16 Auburn Avenue 30.00 11 21-1 Scr
9 8 River of Dreams 3.50 11 21-1
3 3 Cosmic Thunder 8.00 11.5 22-1
1 1 Spring Emperor 6.00 12.8 24-1
15 15 Independent Worker 30.00 15.3 29-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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