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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 14, 2017

October 14, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Sixes 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Clifton Beach 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Big Hearted 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Papa Ted 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Tiz Indy 5.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Twisted Candy 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Royal Seeker 5.00 6 11-1
8 8 Contento 20.00 8 15-1
10 10 Trojan the Wildcat 50.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Fly Papa Fly 8.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Jump the Tracks 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Shackalov 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Campaigner 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Violent Ridge 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Croissant 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Smart Knows Smart 2.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 Minoso 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Touchdown U S C 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Buck Duane 6.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Make It a Triple 1.60 1.8 3-1
7 7 Moonlight Blue 8.00 3 6-1 Scr
4 4 Braddock 1.80 3.3 6-1
2 2 Informality 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 I Crushed It 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Fire to the Wire 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Midnight Harbor 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Start a Runnin 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Radio Silence 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Record Highs 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Fritz Johansen 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Little Scotty 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Tristan’s Trilogy 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Fishel 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Harbour Master (GB) 6.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Cafe Flavor 10.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Ample Sufficiency 4.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Colonial Power 12.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 Big Day Tomorrow 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Hard Arch 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Topgallant 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Vow’s Son 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Sooner Boomer 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Second Gear 6.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Sumday Sumday 8.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Cool Hand Lucas 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Kinsale Warrior 6.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Bryan Habana (ARG) 20.00 11 21-1
6 6 True Force 50.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – California Distaff H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Miss Sunset 2.00 2.7 5-1 Scr
1 1 Bad Ju Ju 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Long Hot Summer 2.50 4.1 8-1
8 5 Moonless Sky 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 6 Ready to Hula Lula 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Barbara Beatrice 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Run for Retts 20.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
7 7 Starlite Style 15.00 6.4 12-1 Scr
2 2 Late ‘n Left 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Indavidualist 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 L. A. Tower 20.00 4 8-1
8 8 Liberation 30.00 5.9 11-1 Scr
13 12 Cammy’s Music 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Bucky Goldstein 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Pick One 3.50 6.9 13-1
10 9 Demonslayer 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Picasso’s Mandolin 10.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 Big Bad Jon 30.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Adventurous 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Slasher 3.50 8.4 16-1
11 10 Mostly Cloudy 12.00 8.7 16-1
12 11 Julia’s Summer 50.00 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Lucky J Lane 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Got Even 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Chris and Dave 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Wild About Deb 3.50 5.7 11-1
8 8 Ground Rules 6.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Magical Mystery 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Sheer Flattery 5.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Camino de Estrella 8.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Senator Robert 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 General Kitten 4.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Kid Charming 30.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Halo Ahead 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Hotsy Dotsy 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Arunachala 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Gee Street 4.00 6 11-1
3 3 Council Women 8.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Rolling Shadow 8.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Wendy’s Back 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Battleground State 3.50 7 13-1
12 12 Alpha Pegasus 50.00 7.4 14-1 Scr
7 7 Veiled Heat 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Promnesia 6.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Bella Sierra 50.00 10.3 19-1
13 13 Quality Girl 20.00 11.1 21-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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