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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 15, 2017

October 15, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Marriedtothemusic 1.40 2.7 5-1
4 4 Love That Jazz 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 West Hills Giant 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Fratello Del Nord 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Brimstone 3.50 5 9-1
5 5 Jet Black 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Sol the Freud 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Mighty Zealous 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Gifted Lady 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Electric 2.50 3.1 6-1
8 7 Equalityforall 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Hopefully 8.00 4.7 9-1 Scr
5 5 In It for the Gold 6.00 5 9-1
9 8 Bail 5.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 China Rider 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Spanker 12.00 7.1 14-1
2 2 Samara 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Matron S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Happy Like a Fool 1.40 1.4 3-1
2 2 Take Charge Paula 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Honey Graeme 2.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Valuable Package 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Tarawa 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 Right On 2.50 1 2-1
6 4 Elenathena 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 7 She’s Da Nuts 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Lillard Hall 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Solitary Gem 10.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
3 2 Money Purse 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Toni Rox 8.00 5 9-1 Scr
10 8 Timeless Beauty 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 1 Glow Goddess 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 3 Kapalua Starlight 15.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 7 Avery Maeve 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Honor Way 1.60 3.6 7-1 Scr
3 3 Fahan Mura 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Dynamic War 10.00 5 9-1 Scr
8 8 Short Kakes 3.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
11 8 Hannah’s Smile 3.50 5.7 11-1
9 6 Reckless Humor 4.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Puparee 30.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Hollywood Cat 8.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Banty’s Girl 15.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Indygita 5.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 11 Smokin Platinum 2.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 New York Hero 3.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
4 3 My Mr. Wonderful 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Diamond Setter 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Candy Zip 5.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Foolish Ghost 20.00 6.3 12-1
14 14 San Juan Diego 5.00 7.4 14-1 Scr
3 2 Flash Drive 15.00 7.9 15-1
6 5 Violent Delights 12.00 8.1 15-1
12 10 Lutheran Rags 10.00 8.4 16-1
10 8 Danny California 6.00 9 17-1
5 4 Dig That Mine 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Flat Out Jayvien 50.00 11.4 22-1 Scr
11 9 Shook Em Up 20.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Phi Beta Express 1.60 1.4 3-1 Scr
7 5 Air Vice Marshal 2.50 3.7 7-1
10 8 Cavil 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Runaway Posse 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 3 Rappel 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Next Shares 12.00 6.7 13-1
11 9 Lord of Love 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 4 Portando 3.50 7.3 14-1
9 7 Hardened 20.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 New York Song 4.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Snake Oil Charlie 50.00 9.3 18-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 So Noted 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Ryder Road 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Nobody Move 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 John’s Island 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Giantinthemoonlite 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mr. Buff 2.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Proper Freud 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Feed Me Carats 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Hope’s Roar 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Nile Princess 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Cap’s Vow 4.00 5.9 11-1
15 15 Rain in Spain 20.00 6.1 12-1 Scr
10 8 Sly Ranger 10.00 7 13-1
13 11 She Remembered 8.00 7.6 14-1
12 10 Jennifer’s Legacy 3.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Votre Coeur 12.00 9.3 18-1 Scr
2 2 Woundwithhereyes 5.00 9.4 18-1
14 14 Freudee 30.00 9.4 18-1 Scr
8 7 Quanique 20.00 10.6 20-1
9 9 Mo Promise 15.00 12 23-1 Scr
16 12 Grande Beso 30.00 12.3 23-1
11 9 Emiliana’s Hope 20.00 12.6 24-1
7 6 Hyde Park Express 30.00 13.9 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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