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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 15, 2017

October 15, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Ostentation 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Whateverybodywants 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Arch Revenge 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Boxer Boy 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Private Time 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Sanavi 4.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Snoose Sasa 3.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Starstruck Kitten 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tolstoy 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Insurgent 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Pressing Luck 4.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Shankly Heights 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Army Grey 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Red Again 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Forge Ahead Franki 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Paden 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Whyruawesome 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Catanova 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Awesome Thought 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Tashreeh 3.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Aurora’s Kid 8.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Shining Copper 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Special Ops 2.50 2 4-1
8 8 Far Right 3.00 3.8 7-1 Scr
3 3 Marengo Road 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Net Gain 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Edge of Reality 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Bandar 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Cooptado (ARG) 8.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 New York Boy 15.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Union Bowman 2.00 4 8-1 Scr
9 9 Malibu Blues 15.00 4.5 9-1
11 10 Whiskey Shiner 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Thamaan 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Kelamonster 8.00 5.8 11-1
16 16 Academy Bay 3.00 7.1 14-1 Scr
3 3 Oriental Crown 8.00 7.8 15-1
14 12 Swarm 3.50 8.3 16-1
13 13 Takin the Sloroad 15.00 8.5 16-1 Scr
12 11 Star Dog 10.00 9 17-1
4 4 Northeast Bound 8.00 11.3 21-1
15 15 Street Factor 30.00 12.3 23-1 Scr
2 2 Fairway Lane 20.00 12.8 24-1
7 7 Limonte 6.00 13 25-1
8 8 Spinning for Home 10.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Pastime 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 She’s Taken 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Miss Vicki 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Conquest Sarahstar 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Tizahandful 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Kaylen’s Revenge 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Brielle’s Appeal 3.50 6 11-1
6 6 Mongolian Shopper 3.00 7 13-1
9 9 First Embrace 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Dulce Ride 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Persephone’s Dawn 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Murika 3.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Galilianco 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Gianna’s Gift 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 Pennyann’s Inn 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Hey Paige 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Malibu Treasure 4.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Macho Orb 12.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Brassy and Sassy 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Corby 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 No Fault 12.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Summer Luck 2.50 2.8 5-1
9 8 Pauline Revere 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Rossini Sunrise 30.00 6.5 12-1
12 11 La Sola Ranger 8.00 6.8 13-1
14 14 Market Top 30.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
8 7 English Dancer 15.00 8 15-1
11 10 Blue Collar 15.00 9.3 17-1
16 16 Phantom Opening 15.00 9.8 18-1 Scr
13 12 Peaceful Passage 12.00 10.3 19-1
10 9 Last Promise Kept 10.00 11 21-1
3 3 Araminta 15.00 12 23-1
5 5 Lantiz 12.00 13 25-1 Scr
6 5 Collections Choice 30.00 14.5 27-1
15 15 Ellens Birthday 20.00 15.3 29-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Bitatude 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Promises Broken 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Ivy’s College Fund 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Yowza 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Girls Know Best 3.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Jo Jo’s Wine 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Angelo’s Ashes 3.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Heir Apparent 5.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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