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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 15, 2017

October 15, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 My Italian Babbo 3.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Unapologetic 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Giant Influence 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Camino Del Paraiso 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Brimstoned 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Play Hard to Get 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Prince of Arabia 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Oscar Dominguez (IRE) 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Editore (BRZ) 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Tiki Bar Logic 1.20 1 2-1
8 7 Dadlani 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 3 Eye of the River 50.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Curlina Curlina 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Colonel Peggy Sue 30.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Dedication 5.00 6.1 12-1 Scr
6 5 Princess Nicole 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Champagne Elegance 30.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Yalla 4.50 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Summer’s Indy 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Ms Bad Behavior 1.80 3.1 6-1
4 4 Rancor 8.00 3.7 7-1 Scr
7 6 Line Drive 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Proud Heroine 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Mapit 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Gia Lula 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Wish You Were Mine 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Pacific Coast Hwy 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 8 Alaskan Son (IRE) 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Rainbow Squall 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Van Cortlandt 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Uber Star 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Run Like Rhett 3.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Red King 4.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Gabo’s Macondo 15.00 7.9 15-1 Scr
7 6 Irish Goodbye 6.00 8 15-1
4 4 Pampers n’ Boots 15.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Speakeasy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Show It N Moe It 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Mourinho 1.20 1.9 4-1
1 1 Candy Crew 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Here Is Happy 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Beautiful Shot 2.50 5 9-1
2 2 Soul of Discretion 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Skelton Pass 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Hay Dude (GB) 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Banze No Oeste (BRZ) 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 5 My Man Chuckles 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Guggenheim 5.00 5.7 11-1 Scr
10 9 Il Segreto (FR) 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Unreal Deal 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Special Season (GB) 12.00 7.1 14-1
9 8 Eight Spokes 5.00 7.7 15-1
11 10 Moving 50.00 8.9 17-1
8 7 Sir Matador 30.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Out of Patience 1.60 2.7 5-1
3 3 Pray Hard 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Templar 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 One More Roll 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Cherokee Dynasty 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 It’s Just Bob 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Fast Pass 8.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Oh Newman 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Willing to Travel 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Prohibition 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Our Nation 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Jensen 5.00 5 9-1
8 8 Changing Karma 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Broadway Nika 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Roman Tizzy 3.50 7 13-1
7 7 South Texas Lingo 5.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 David R. 10.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Pantsonfire (IRE) 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Danuska’s My Girl 8.00 4 8-1
11 10 Morning Dance 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Malibu Model 30.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 No Cats Allowed 3.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Achira 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Night Bloom 12.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Glory and Power 15.00 8.4 16-1 Scr
10 10 Boldest Vow 30.00 8.4 16-1 Scr
14 14 Queen of Troy 20.00 8.4 16-1 Scr
7 7 Sasini (GB) 4.00 9 17-1
9 9 Eternal Endeavour (GB) 15.00 9 17-1
5 5 Took the High Road 15.00 10.4 20-1
12 11 Quality Girl 30.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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