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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 18, 2017

October 18, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Tiz Super 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Fortunate Queen 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Butcher Knife 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Derval 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Ouro Verde 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 You Promise 30.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Christmas Sky 4.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Saturdaynightfling 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Bon Heir 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 2 Da Wildcat Girl 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Little Miss Julia 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Doinwhatshelikes 1.80 4 8-1
1 1 Even Bette 20.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
4 3 Burn Control 2.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Kentucky Dancer 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Americasprincess 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Midnight Bounty 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Shakesperian Dream 20.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
2 2 Kate Is a Ten 2.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Spa Town Parade 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Perina’s Pride 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Milaya 2.50 7.3 14-1
7 6 Ice Palace 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Barbados Kitten 6.00 2.5 5-1
12 12 Final Flurry 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Increased Scrutiny 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Run Blondie Run 5.00 4.8 9-1
15 15 Factoring 4.00 5 9-1 Scr
11 11 Julia’s Pride 15.00 6 11-1
13 13 Ormolu Lu 3.50 6.3 12-1 Scr
1 1 Eternal Vow 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Cleo 4.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Special Risk 20.00 10.3 19-1
6 6 Kusama 15.00 11 21-1
5 5 Lemondrop Lollipop 10.00 11.5 22-1
14 14 Mama’s Red Hat 30.00 13.8 26-1 Scr
7 7 More Than a Legend 8.00 14 26-1
16 16 Looking Good Carol (IRE) 20.00 14.3 27-1 Scr
9 9 French Dressing 20.00 14.5 27-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Mentality 1.60 1.8 3-1
3 3 Beaux Arts 20.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Pauseforthecause 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Codrington 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Trouble for Skylar 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Blue Atlas 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Saratoga Treasure 10.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Barbarossa 2.00 1 2-1
14 14 Perfectexpectation 2.50 2.8 5-1 Scr
1 1 Rockin Jo 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Nolinski 5.00 4 8-1
16 16 Accolade 3.00 6 11-1 Scr
10 10 Causforcelebration 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 Badaboom 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 National Honor 10.00 8 15-1
11 11 Ten Eyck 15.00 9.3 17-1
3 3 Chasindamoney 8.00 10.8 20-1
12 12 Sim Card 30.00 11 21-1
5 5 Sir Frost 50.00 12.3 23-1
15 15 Stormy Justin 30.00 13 25-1 Scr
2 2 Just Bustin 20.00 14 26-1
13 13 English Channical 30.00 14.3 27-1 Scr
7 7 Heroism 20.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 La Moneda 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Bree’s Got Heart 20.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Pinchbeck 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Tiz a Kitten 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Kitty Maddnes 5.00 5.8 11-1
9A 9 Frosty Lady 2.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 Eighth Commandment 20.00 6 11-1
6A 6 Cotton Candy Cutie 2.50 6.3 12-1
7 7 Land Mine 6.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Fleet Irish 6.00 1.8 3-1
9 8 Rock Doc 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Bluegrass Express 20.00 3.8 7-1 Scr
6 5 Terry O Geri 5.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Gorelli 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Bourbon Empire 3.50 5 9-1
1 1 Peak Performance 10.00 6.8 13-1
3 2 Benevolence 8.00 8 15-1
7 6 Third Son 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Simona 20.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Salty Smile 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Single Mission 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 10 Purely Lucky 2.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Forever Daisy 15.00 6 11-1
12 11 Adorable Song 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Fiveinthemorning 6.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
15 15 Carrera Cat 5.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
7 7 Big Expense 8.00 8 15-1
14 14 Scatback 8.00 9 17-1 Scr
13 13 Pound Note 5.00 9.5 18-1 Scr
3 3 Sardonyx 12.00 10.8 20-1
10 9 Silverado Mist 8.00 12.3 23-1
5 5 Tizengaginglysmart 5.00 12.3 23-1
9 8 Giant Zinger 15.00 13.3 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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