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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 18, 2017

October 18, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Ty Man 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Tsunami 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Kings Wish 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Encrypt 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Santa Americana 4.00 5 9-1
6 6 Levanto (ARG) 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Justanotherbird 5.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Headliner 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Candy Ruby 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Blue Wings 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Jasizzle 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Wabel 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Control Stake 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Royal Asset 3.00 5 9-1
4 4 Speightsong 12.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Dark Arden 12.00 2 4-1
5 5 Aquamarine 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Petrov 1.20 2.5 5-1
2 2 Major Munnings 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Excitations 1.80 4.3 8-1
4 4 Shadow Tracer 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Kantastic 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Card Club 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Ghost Jumper 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Drinks On Me 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 My Dark Secret 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Madaket Morning 5.00 6 11-1
9 8 Truckstop Diamond 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Simply Fit 6.00 8 15-1 Scr
2 2 Kyniska 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Lily’s Secret 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Stetson Gold 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Lady Cleopatra 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 White Gold 4.50 5 9-1
6 6 Merry Memories 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Eye On Harper 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Audacious Angel 3.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Proud Dixie 8.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Controversy 6.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Pretty Greeley 8.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8A 8 Steel Shot 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Mississippi 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Private Eye 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 End of Spirits 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Bow Ready 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Sir Sahib 3.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 San Juan Diego 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Applewood 6.00 7.3 14-1
6A 6 Zing Zang 5.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Single Gem 20.00 10.3 19-1
2 2 Violent Strike 15.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 7 Sensitive 5.00 2 4-1
6 4 Valentine Wish 12.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Light Up Our World (IRE) 2.00 4 8-1
15 9 Quebec 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Brooks House 12.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
14 14 Moonlight Sky 20.00 5.1 10-1 Scr
8 6 Now Power 6.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 China Grove 20.00 7 13-1 Scr
7 5 Bonnie Arch 10.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Fizzy Friday (GB) 6.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
12 8 Browse 6.00 9.8 18-1
3 2 Deedeezee 20.00 10 19-1
13 13 Athena’s Aegis (IRE) 20.00 12.5 24-1 Scr
16 16 You Cheated 20.00 13.8 26-1 Scr
4 4 Conquest Bandido 20.00 14.3 27-1 Scr
5 3 Pour Girl 20.00 15.5 29-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Tiznow R J 20.00 3 6-1 Scr
4 4 Glitnir 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Pat’s Shoes 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Bold Shot 15.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Belvin 3.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
3 3 Gabriel’s Cat 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Candy My Boy 5.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Jack Tripp 4.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Academy Bay 3.50 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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