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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 19, 2017

October 19, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Hit the Diamond 2.50 1.5 3-1
7A 5 Unlockthepotential 1.60 2.5 5-1
4 4 Factorial 5.00 3 6-1 Scr
8A 6 Wage Acceleration 1.60 5 9-1
9 7 Stun 30.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Repetitious 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 I’m Amazing 4.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Stan the Man 3.50 7.8 15-1 Scr
2 2 Go Big Or Go Home 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Rimanisempreforte 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Gold Lace 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Dynamic War 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Vasilika 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Questeq 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Carry Your Heels 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Cha Cha Heels 6.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Palladian Bridge 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Miss Freeze 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Nothingbutasmile 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Frost Wise 4.00 4 8-1
3A 3 Three Eighty Eight 3.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
1 1 Tainted Angel 1.80 4.8 9-1
2A 2 Gobi 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Griff’s Ghost 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Notjudginjustsayin 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Herecomesyourman 1.80 4 8-1
4 4 Electro 15.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Channel Won 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Rule Yourself 6.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Disruptor 2.50 5.8 11-1 Scr
10 10 Fuel the Bern 4.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Smarter 30.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Lone Traveler 15.00 9.3 17-1
8 8 Red Hot Salsa 10.00 10 19-1
2 2 Golden Away 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Ready for Summer 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Vicki’s Dancer 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Lamontagne 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Making Havoc 15.00 5 9-1
8 7 Billyscrystalball 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Startwithsilver 4.00 6 11-1 Scr
3 3 Awesome Quick 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Nisha 6.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 New York Hero 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Runnin for Dace 10.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Mr. President 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dark Ops 3.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Odin’s Steed 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Mango M 3.00 5 9-1
7 7 Accolade 5.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Scrutinize 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 10 Uncle Sigh 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Silver Dagger 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Andalusite 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Tiznoble 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Iron Power 3.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Marriage Fever 12.00 6 11-1 Scr
2 2 Shalako 6.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Damage Control 5.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Prophet’s Cat 30.00 8 15-1 Scr
4 4 Birchwood Road 20.00 10 19-1
8 8 Aire Bueno (CHI) 6.00 10.8 20-1
5 5 Inventor’s Gate 50.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Judy’s Chance 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Portmagee 1.60 2.5 5-1
4 4 Kelsocait 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Who’s the Lady 4.00 4 8-1 Scr
3 3 All in Fun 2.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Discreet Senorita 3.00 6 11-1 Scr
2 2 Moon River (IRE) 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 6 Rumble Doll 4.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Giant Rocks 3.00 1 2-1
6 5 O Captainmycaptain 4.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Big Auk 30.00 4 8-1
4 3 Barefoot Angel 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 What a Culture 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Pio’s Posse 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Clonedsimmard 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Tiffany’s Vision 30.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
3 2 The I Man 15.00 8.8 17-1
5 4 Pom Freight 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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