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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 19, 2017

October 19, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Honor Maker 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Jill Madden 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Sassy Ashley 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Zanab 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Forthe Lovof Patty 15.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
5 5 Pattin for a Dance 12.00 6 11-1
7 6 It’s Not So Easy 6.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Swiss Skimmer 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Public House 12.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Backintheacademy 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Swissarella 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Desert Madam 1.20 4.8 9-1 Scr
6 5 Sheswildnfree 4.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Wishful Winking 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 D’ Platinum 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Yaffe 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Carrie 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Lookinforadanger 2.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Wicked Old Fashion 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Quinn Murphy 3.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Sapodilla 12.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Bragging Rights 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bless the Cause 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Miss Pretty 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Funny Bean 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Callie Mesa 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Streak of Luck 3.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Spacerika 30.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Put It On Ice 6.00 7 13-1
5 5 Fabian’s Secret 8.00 8.3 16-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 6 Fengari 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Scrambled 4.00 2 4-1 Scr
12 10 Liberal Lunacy 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Navajo Dreamer (IRE) 6.00 5 9-1
11 9 Good Guy Bad Guy 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Eskimo Roses 3.50 5.5 10-1
7 5 Rockaway (IRE) 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 7 Bartlett Hall 8.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Showstone 12.00 10 19-1 Scr
13 13 Erotic 6.00 10.5 20-1 Scr
2 2 Captain N. Barron 12.00 11 21-1
6 4 Danny O 8.00 11 21-1
10 8 Knight Disruptor 8.00 12.3 23-1
14 14 El Asesino 12.00 12.8 24-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Avicii 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Cuyathy 12.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Just a Little Hope 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Bernina Star 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Run for Retts 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Dis Smart Cat 4.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Demigoddess 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Winemenow 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Lethal Legacy 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Paschalitsa 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Bold At Night 20.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Secret Thorn 4.00 5 9-1
7 7 Aflewency 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 How About Zero 3.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Hawk’s Journey 12.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Warrenscrystalized 4.50 7.8 15-1
1 1 Tiz Mi Haina 12.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Golden Atlantic 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Hawk’s Eyes (BRZ) 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Stoneys Mr Cruiser 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Royal F J 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Ajac 10.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Nagys Piggy Bank 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Madelyn’s Wild Max 6.00 7 13-1
1 1 Brave Julian 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Cupid’s Beau 6.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Warren’s Cole 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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