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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 21, 2017

October 21, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 1 Gosilently 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Summer Mischief 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Catch a Cab 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 5 J J’s Dreaming 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Zonic 1.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
3 2 Grand Valour 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Appealing Briefs 3.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Constant Knight 30.00 7 13-1 Scr
5 4 Heart in Hand 6.00 8.3 16-1
9 8 Space Key 20.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Maid Of The Mist S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Newport Breeze 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Cause We Are Loyal 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Berning Rose 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 I Still Miss You 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Droselmeyr’s Smile 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Pure Silver 2.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Miss Mystique 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Held Accountable 5.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Iroquois S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Quezon 1.60 1.8 3-1
4 3 Absatootly 10.00 2 4-1
6 5 Cozzy Spring 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Picco Uno 2.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Royal Inheritance 15.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
5 4 Wonderment 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Ticonderoga S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Fifty Five 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Ancient Secret 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Barrel of Dreams 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Tizzelle 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Flipcup 6.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Table for Six 20.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
4 4 Frosty Margarita 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Feeling Bossy 10.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Broken Border 12.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Empire Classic H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Twisted Tom 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Governor Malibu 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Hit It Once More 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Papa Shot 5.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Royal Posse 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Can You Diggit 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Control Group 6.00 7 13-1
2 2 Becker’s Galaxy 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Testosterstone 15.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Sleepy Hollow S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Stoney Bennett 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Battle Station 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Big Gemmy 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Inalienable Rights 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 We Should Talk 5.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Mr. Pete 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Bourbonfuhrme 30.00 8 15-1
9 9 Lover’s Leap 15.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Evaluator 15.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Analyze the Odds 10.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 Engineers Report 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 D’yer Mak’er 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Macho Miah 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Blame the Thief 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Discretionary Marq 2.00 4 8-1
6 6 Jo’s Bold Cat 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 The Caretaker 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Psychic Energy 3.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 E J’s Legacy 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 River Knight 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Hudson H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Weekend Hideaway 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bust Another 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Gold for the King 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Sudden Surprise 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Pat On the Back 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 T Loves a Fight 3.50 6.5 12-1
10 10 Candid Desire 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Eye Luv Lulu 15.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Celtic Chaos 6.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Ostrolenka 4.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Mohawk S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Nevisian Sky 8.00 1.8 3-1 Scr
5 4 Offering Plan 1.20 1.8 3-1
3 2 All Is Number 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Black Tide 2.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Converge 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Cloontia 6.00 6 11-1
4 3 Rapt 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Empire Distaff H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Verdant Pastures 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Pride of Saratoga 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 No Hayne No Gayne 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Might Be 20.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Five Star Rampage 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Bonita Bianca 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Jc’s Shooting Star 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Jcs American Dream 4.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Literata 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Cosmoiselle 6.00 1.8 3-1
10 9 Dream Passage 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Piquet 4.00 3 6-1
9 8 Lulu’s Pom Pom 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 7 Spa Treatment 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Way Smart 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Tizza Temper 6.00 7.5 14-1
7 6 Smart and Sassy 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Amanda Lane 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Cirque 30.00 10 19-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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