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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 21, 2017

October 21, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Lady Warrior 4.00 2 4-1
8 7 Nonikas Thunder 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Charmin Dixie 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Mizz Fabulous 5.00 4 8-1
3 2 Superstar Diva 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Union Obsession 6.00 6 11-1 Scr
6 5 Love to Learn 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Silver Turns Gold 4.50 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Tribal Transit 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Unfading Beauty 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Our Daily Bread 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Whenwillicuagain 8.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
3 3 Colombe 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Pampered Vow 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Jeanne’s Speight 3.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Honor’s Parade 3.50 7.3 14-1
4 4 Brassy Rose 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Vaporman 6.00 1.8 3-1 Scr
4 3 Sightforsoreeyes 8.00 3 6-1
5 4 Seeking the Soul 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Clear the Mine 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Society Beau 6.00 5 9-1
6 5 Pinson 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Conquest Windycity 2.50 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Kirby’s Penny 1.20 1 2-1
6 5 Fleet Bertie 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 MacCorleot 12.00 3.8 7-1 Scr
4 3 Beach Flower 5.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 China Grove 5.00 5 9-1
2 1 Mercer Slough 30.00 5 9-1
8 7 Miner’s Cat 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Whole Scoop 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Coach Rocks 3.00 2 4-1
11 11 Track Rose 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Security 20.00 4.5 9-1
16 16 Kitten’s Covergirl 12.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
3 3 Sahara Breeze 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Starving Artist 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Mountain Momma 8.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Outgoing 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Queen’s Fate 8.00 8 15-1
13 13 C. S. Incharge 8.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
9 9 Last Play 12.00 10.8 20-1
14 14 Daddy Is a Legend 2.00 11.5 22-1 Scr
5 5 Lemon Princess 5.00 13 25-1
12 12 Big Red Rose 20.00 13 25-1
15 15 Lemon Drop Twist 20.00 13.3 25-1 Scr
8 8 As I Please 12.00 13.3 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 8 Zander Zone 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 True West 6.00 2.8 5-1
10 7 Moon Gate Warrior 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Bagpipes 6.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
4 3 Woodmans Luck 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Futile 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Mineyerownmalone 4.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
7 7 Hat of Jacks 12.00 8 15-1 Scr
1 1 El Bonito 15.00 9.3 17-1
8 6 U. S. A. Cowboy 12.00 9.8 18-1
6 5 Back Togetheragain 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
14 14 Clearwater 8.00 2 4-1 Scr
9 8 America’s Tale 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Elusive Truth 3.00 4.8 9-1
13 12 Treasure in Heaven 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Let’s Roll 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Good Creation 12.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
11 10 Desert Isle 6.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Ruthless Child 20.00 8.5 16-1
10 9 Palmilla Moon 15.00 9.8 18-1
1 1 Curuzu 10.00 9.8 18-1
5 5 Hazana 12.00 9.8 18-1
12 11 Smart Shot 6.00 11.5 22-1
2 2 Princessof the Nyl 15.00 11.8 22-1
4 4 Woody’s Reward 20.00 13.3 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 12 Delphinia 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Spellker 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 My Sweet Stella 15.00 4.3 8-1
13 13 Eila 6.00 5 9-1 Scr
7 7 Diadura 20.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Touch of Bling 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 Smiling Causeway 3.00 6.3 12-1
14 14 Monavista Crossing 5.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
2 2 Cherry Lodge 3.50 8 15-1
6 6 India Mantuana 8.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Width 10.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 Excessivespending 8.00 11.8 22-1
10 10 Love On Tides 20.00 12.3 23-1
1 1 Starlight Express 30.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Lexus Raven Run S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 10 Miss Sunset 4.00 1 2-1
6 5 Pretty City Dancer 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Pinch Hit 12.00 4 8-1
7 6 Tequilita 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Classy Tune 5.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Torrent 30.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Chalon 4.50 6 11-1
2 1 Overture 10.00 8.3 16-1
4 3 Nonna Mela 4.50 8.5 16-1
5 4 Happy Mesa 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Yorkiepoo Princess 15.00 10.5 20-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Hallie Belle 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Time to Flirt 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Katie’s Champ 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Blame T J 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Jaunt 3.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Safari Kitten 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Alinea 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Freedom 4.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Photo Moment 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 So Charming 6.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Graceland 15.00 11 21-1
8 8 Rollover Risk 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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