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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 21, 2017

October 21, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Papamac 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Only the Truth 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 My Cotton Jones 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Promise the Sky 1.40 3.3 6-1
7 7 Movie Night 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Champ Joey 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Speightman 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Kingslayer 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Montauk Man 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Country Money 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Chipit 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Venezuelan Success 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Tero 5.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Guyana Express 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Actin Tiz 1.20 1.8 3-1
4 4 Rest Assured 20.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Return of a Giant 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Bestbandever 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 True to His Word 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Unto Thou 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Sergeant J W R 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Rocky the Kid 15.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Moneyman 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Wildly Good Lookin 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Diadema 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Zafiro Azul 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Guchi Gold 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Pretty Cool Cat 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Money for Maria 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Little Caton 1.20 5.5 10-1
8 8 Carolina Dreams 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Yougotthatgoinforu 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 T. J. Goodie 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Sir Sidney 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Alturist 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 D’marin 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Boilermaker 4.50 5.5 10-1
1A 5 Untamed 3.50 5.8 11-1
1 4 Blitzensmajikreign 3.50 7.5 14-1 Scr
8 8 Honorable Service 10.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Miss Injustice 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Tarafirma 1.80 1.8 3-1
3 3 Hearty Jones 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 All Summed Up 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Market High 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Weekend Babe 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Ebony Ball 3.50 6.5 12-1
1 1 Fairybrook 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Gibby 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Shemakesmehappy 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Angie Grand 1.40 2.5 5-1
4 4 Dixie Serenade 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Maurer Power 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Not Leaving 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Freemark 15.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Battle Tap 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Fifty Eight O G 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Stone Bandit 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Retrograde 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Assail 2.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Tighten Up 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 He’s Cotton 4.50 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Skips North Lite 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Extrasexymazzerati 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Edge of Patience 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 New Road 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Match the Pot 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Victorious Venture 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Southhampton Skye 8.00 7 13-1
6 6 Pleasant Sojourn 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Check This Out 10.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Case the Place 20.00 8.8 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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