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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 22, 2017

October 22, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Forge 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Holding Aces 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 May Be a Diamond 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Curtis 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Valyrian 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Javelin 2.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Going Strong 4.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 News Anchor 1.20 1.9 4-1
1 1 Now a Factor 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Perfectexpectation 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Magnetron 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Mr. Vincent 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Gotham’s Storm 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Stormy Justin 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 English Channical 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Life in Shambles 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Hey Jabber Jaw 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 2 Great Stuff 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Clever Royal 12.00 3.9 7-1 Scr
4 3 Hammers Vision 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Eighty Three 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Jahaafel 1.60 2.3 4-1
8 7 Im the Captain Now 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Captain Hardship 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Desperado 20.00 3.1 6-1 Scr
5 4 Culture Carrier 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Summer Causeway 50.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Florentine Kitten 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Shahroze (IRE) 4.00 6.9 13-1
9 8 Critics Award 30.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Guick 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bar None 3.00 2.4 5-1 Scr
2 2 Shamrocked 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 The Orphan Miracle 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Lightning Buzz 3.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Tottie Royer 30.00 5 9-1
4 4 Auburn Avenue 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Ten Twenty Nine 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Passporttovictory 5.00 3.9 7-1
2A 2 Itsinthestars 3.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Alabama Bound 8.00 4.4 8-1
11 10 High Jingo 2.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Jumpin’ Nancy 20.00 6.3 12-1
3A 3 Objective Complete 3.00 6.6 12-1
12 11 Swayed 4.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Tiffanys Freud 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Laura’s Patriot 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Lulu’s Blues 30.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Cool as You Like 2.00 7.9 15-1 Scr
5 5 Head Shrinker 20.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – English Channel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 4 No Dozing 3.00 2.6 5-1
10 6 Souper Tapit 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 You’re to Blame 2.00 2.7 5-1 Scr
3 2 Let’s Get Loud 2.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Bird’s Eye View 15.00 6.1 12-1 Scr
5 5 Sonic Mule 10.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
4 3 Dalarna 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Hammerin Aamer 4.00 7.6 14-1 Scr
11 7 Fact Finding 4.00 7.7 15-1
2 1 Lunaire 8.00 9.1 17-1
9 5 Harlan’s Harmony 20.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Sandy’z Slew 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Fratello Del Nord 6.00 3.1 6-1 Scr
4 3 Cliffs of Dover 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 7 Yummy Bear 4.00 5.7 11-1
7 5 Speightful Kitten 5.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Whiskey Seven 3.00 5.9 11-1
8 6 The Crocheron Kid 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Pegasus Red 2.50 6.1 12-1 Scr
10 8 Robey’s Boy 12.00 7.7 15-1
6 4 Manoffire 6.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 10 Data Dependent 3.50 2.4 5-1
13 13 Reality Queen 6.00 3.6 7-1 Scr
8 8 Moi 3.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Celebrity Glitter 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Moviemaker 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Special Trip 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Pass It On 8.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 My New Daughter 50.00 6.7 13-1 Scr
4 4 Lemoona 5.00 7.3 14-1
12 11 Berningbrightly 20.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Really Proud 15.00 9.1 17-1
14 14 Fingerpaint 6.00 9.3 18-1 Scr
5 5 Solar Vortex 20.00 10 19-1
7 7 Sheputaspellonme 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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