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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 22, 2017

October 22, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Wings Locked Up 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Far Right 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Yockey’s Warrior 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Etruscan 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Crewman 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Wilbo 2.50 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4A 4 Villa Elena 5.00 1.8 3-1 Scr
6 4 Sneaky Betty 2.50 2 4-1
5 3 Clever Serve 2.00 2.5 5-1
2A 2 Nancy Doll 5.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
7 5 Jemrose 3.00 4.5 9-1
8 6 Perfect Diamond 10.00 6 11-1
3 2 Schmiss 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Miss Acorn 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 8 Yooou Den 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Jasmene 6.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
10 7 Yearning 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 4 Limerick Lady 4.50 5 9-1
5 5 Ichtli 50.00 5 9-1 Scr
1 1 Spanish Arch 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Red Hot Cherry 6.00 7 13-1 Scr
8 5 Chub’s Charmer 10.00 7.3 14-1
4 2 Kate N Abs Reward 8.00 8.5 16-1
9 6 She’s Lovely 6.00 8.8 17-1
6 3 Seattle Firm 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Bold Prophet 8.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
10 9 Gottsacker 20.00 4.5 9-1
12 11 Almoreb 20.00 5 9-1
11 10 Dreamrider 5.00 5.3 10-1
14 14 Campioni 20.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
4 3 Halifax 6.00 6.3 12-1
16 16 Gostisbehere 10.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
13 12 Le Pin (IRE) 3.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 High Promise 3.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Border Force 10.00 9 17-1
5 4 Dreamology 8.00 10.3 19-1
7 6 I Am Iron Max 8.00 12 23-1
8 7 Elsie Time 30.00 13 25-1
15 15 Wazzup Chuck 20.00 13 25-1 Scr
6 5 Markitoff 8.00 13.8 26-1
9 8 Arch Daddy 10.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 Rise Above It 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Case Cracker 2.50 2.5 5-1 Scr
3 2 Scat Lady 20.00 3 6-1
8 6 Bellatori 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 7 Racey Reecey 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Hot Yankee 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Sagara 8.00 7 13-1 Scr
5 3 Dustem Carolina 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 4 Princess Dinah 6.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Kitty Kat Kate 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 4 Get Explicit 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 6 Moonlight Rain 3.50 4 8-1
16 16 Regal Dame 10.00 4 8-1 Scr
12 9 Arabella Bella 12.00 5 9-1
10 7 Thewayiam (FR) 4.50 6.3 12-1
8 5 Vanilla Cat 4.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Casatoria 50.00 8.5 16-1 Scr
11 8 Nikki’s Cause 30.00 10.5 20-1
3 3 High Tech 12.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
15 10 La Dama 20.00 11 21-1
4 2 Malibu Saint 4.00 11 21-1
5 3 Caroline the Great 12.00 12 23-1
13 13 Passion Plus 15.00 12.3 23-1 Scr
14 14 Oh Zap 8.00 12.8 24-1 Scr
2 2 Cubs Win 12.00 14.8 28-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Antarctic 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Raining Moolah 20.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 One Thirty Nine 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Plainsman 30.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
1 1 Zanesville 8.00 5 9-1
4 3 Title Ready 2.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Seauxtale 15.00 6 11-1
3 2 Sourdough 3.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Rood And Riddle Dowager S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Apple Betty (IRE) 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Place des Vosges 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Polar Vortex 30.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Grateful 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Daring Duchess 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Coco Channel 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Promotional 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Daddy’s Boo 10.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Lottie 3.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Bootsy’s Girl 30.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 6 Rocket Time 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Big Squeeze 6.00 2 4-1
9 7 Rocking the Boat 5.00 4 8-1
6 5 Wyeth 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Zulu 5.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
4 3 Sir Navigator 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Icatiro 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 1 Grand Candy 3.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Sonoma Crush 30.00 8.3 16-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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