November 11, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gee Street | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wendy’s Back | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lostintranzlation | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rolling Shadow | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veiled Heat | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warm It Up | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weather Market | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Girl | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dangerously Close | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Norwegian Spy | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sally Simpson | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carrie | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blissful Lady | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Fair | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pattin for a Dance | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Violent Ridge | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mavericks | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes I’m Ready | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bright Autism Mind | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ishi | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Minoso | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready Eddie | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhettbutler | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rainbow Squall | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red King | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run Like Rhett | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waldorf | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Supreme Venture | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trustworthy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Curly’s Waterfront | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Heights | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bacoli | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pampers n’ Boots | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Bob Hope S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run Away | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mourinho | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Shot | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Italiano | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Here Is Happy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greyvitos | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Lord of Chaos | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atomic Rule | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Play Hard to Get | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Crown the Kitten | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Excessive Kid | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alaskan Son (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Buymeabond | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pitino | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Graycaster | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Destiny Awaits | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | All Out Blitz | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Bobby | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Colosi | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Totally Boss | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Keystone Field | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kanthaka | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Morning | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Cornell | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Time for Ebby | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Painting Corners | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tizanillusion | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Miss Loujean | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Phantom Proton | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Go Argento | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Late ‘n Left | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Literary Critic | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Obey | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Robin’s Love | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Powder | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | What What What | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vai | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Demigoddess | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heir of Storm | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Willing to Travel | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freddies Dream | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jonny’s Choice | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gunslinger | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Nika | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Tizzy | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tisdale | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | South Texas Lingo | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ucanthankmelater | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.