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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 18, 2017

November 18, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Cats Blame 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Little Juanito 3.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Milhaud 2.50 3.6 7-1 Scr
10 10 New Dancer 8.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 Pure Pursuit 10.00 6.1 12-1 Scr
5 5 Air On Fire 5.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Uncle Billy 3.50 7.3 14-1
13 13 Insubordination 8.00 9 17-1 Scr
14 14 Rak City 6.00 9.1 17-1 Scr
1 1 Mesut 10.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Sunday Prophet 5.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Lookingforthewire 20.00 10.4 20-1
9 9 Dramatic Victory 20.00 11 21-1
7 7 Vegas Itch 20.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Red Carpet Cat 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 The Critical Way 5.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
4 3 Burn Me Twice 2.50 4 8-1
6 5 Night’s Watch 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Big League 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Pundy 8.00 6 11-1
8 7 True Valor 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Reverend Al 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Helen’s Tiger 1.40 1.4 3-1
5 5 Yolanda’s Stone 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Dixie Lassie 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Wicked Sunset 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Kiss of Dahpespe 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 If Only Ida 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Artistic Ministry 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Lucky Stash 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Jersey’s Heat 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Hardboot 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Dos Palos 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Dark Paradise 15.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Push Through 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Croissant 12.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Rustic Canyon 5.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Buck Duane 4.50 7.1 14-1
9 9 Infuriated Gary 6.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Smart Knows Smart 12.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Minister’s Glory 15.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Desi Arnaz S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Dream Tree 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Ms Bad Behavior 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Steph Being Steph 6.00 3.1 6-1 Scr
5 4 Secret Spice 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Smiling Tigress 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Midnight Bisou 3.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 12 Not too Shiny 15.00 3.4 6-1 Scr
3 3 Painting Corners 3.50 3.7 7-1
11 11 Snow Cloud (IRE) 4.00 3.9 7-1 Scr
6 6 Little Voice 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Lajatico (GB) 3.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Yuvetsi 12.00 6.1 12-1
13 13 Wonderful Lie 5.00 6.7 13-1 Scr
8 8 Go Argento 12.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Phantom Proton 10.00 9 17-1
9 9 Zero Zee 8.00 9.6 18-1
2 2 Red Livy (IRE) 5.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Dashin Ashen 30.00 10 19-1
7 7 Bowie 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Go On Mary 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Party Hostess 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Demigoddess 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Princess Dorian 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Reckless Charm 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Li’l Grazen 4.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Little Nati 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Christy Jackson 8.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Radio Silence 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Midnight Pleasure 6.00 3.1 6-1 Scr
9 8 Harbour Master (GB) 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Thorpe d’Oro 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Buckys Pick 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Hootie 3.50 5.6 11-1
5 5 South Americain 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Farley 20.00 7.1 14-1
3 3 Fly to Mars 6.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Tough But Nice 12.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Lindante 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 My Man Chuckles 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Make It a Triple 2.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Gentrified 3.00 5 9-1
1 1 Braddock 3.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 All Star Parade 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Bolitar 5.00 5.9 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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